Diletta Cherubini vs Malaika RapoluPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- W50 Huamantla
- Level
- ITF W50
- Round
- Final
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- November 8 · 12:00 PM ET
- Weather
- ☁️ 22°C · Overcast · 14 km/h
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 5.33 or longer, Diletta Cherubini has won 0 of 11 (0%). The price implied 14%, so Diletta Cherubini has fallen 14 points short of it.
At 1.12 or shorter, Malaika Rapolu has won 18 of 20 (90%). The price implied 87%, so Malaika Rapolu has beaten it by 3 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Diletta Cherubini and Malaika Rapolu will meet in the final of the W50 Huamantla on hard court Sunday, November 8. Cherubini, ranked 399, has won four straight matches to reach the title match. Rapolu, the 255th-ranked player, arrives undefeated through nine consecutive wins.
The two have never played. On hard courts over a recent sample, Cherubini holds a 12-8 record at 60%, while Rapolu has gone 15-5 at 75%. Both players have faced Valeriya Strakhova; Rapolu defeated her while Cherubini lost. Cherubini has won six matches in the last 14 days but played just one match ago, as did Rapolu, who has contested nine matches in that span.
Cherubini operates as a counterpuncher, thriving on reaction and timing from the baseline. Rapolu brings a well-rounded game across all strokes and court positions. The final will test whether Cherubini's defensive precision can withstand Rapolu's sustained intensity and variety, or if Rapolu's consistency can break down Cherubini's timing from deep in the court.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cherubini | Rapolu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diletta Cherubini | Malaika Rapolu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 17/26 | 82% | 45/55 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 8/33 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 17/59 | 28% | 22/80 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 69% | 40/58 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 15/34 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 9/20 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 91% | 49/54 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 17/28 | 83% | 45/54 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cherubini
🪃 Counterpuncher
Rapolu
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 8,674 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Malaika Rapolu.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Cherubini and Rapolu have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cherubini | Rapolu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diletta Cherubini | Malaika Rapolu | ||
| 1 or more | 39% | 9/23 | 74% | 20/27 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 30% | 8/27 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 4% | 1/27 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/27 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/27 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/27 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cherubini | Rapolu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–10 | 21–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.85 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | +13.9% | +2.5% |
| Units P/L | +3.06u | +0.70u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cherubini | Rapolu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 4 |
| Events | 4 | 4 |
| Matches | 9 | 13 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | RSA → SWE → SVK → USA | TUN → HUN → FRA → USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rapolu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Cherubini's 33%).
| Opponent | Cherubini | Rapolu |
|---|---|---|
| Cadence Brace | W 64 67 61 | W 75 61 |
| Valeriya Strakhova | L 16 26 | W 61 46 62 |
| Daria Yesypchuk | L 46 26 | L 36 63 67 |
| Gina Feistel | L 26 26 | L 46 26 |
| Ayana Akli | W 61 16 76 | W 61 75 |
| Elena Milovanovic | L 62 26 36 | W 57 62 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Cadence Brace
W50 Huamantla · Semifinals
Nov 7
Maria Jose Portillo Ramirez
W50 Huamantla · Quarterfinals
Nov 7
Ipek Oz
W50 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Nov 5
Alize Lim
W50 Huamantla · 1st Round
Nov 4
Bianca Andreescu
Queretaro Open - Queretaro · 2nd Round
Oct 29
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Queretaro Open - Queretaro · 1st Round
Oct 27
Connie Ma
W35 Bakersfield · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Amelie Justine Hejtmanek
W35 Bakersfield · 1st Round
Oct 21
Victoria Rodriguez
W50 Huamantla · Semifinals
Nov 7
Sofia Johnson
W50 Huamantla · Quarterfinals
Nov 6
Ingrid Carolina Millan
W50 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Nov 5
Julia Garcia
W50 Huamantla · 1st Round
Nov 3
Anastasia Tikhonova
W50 Morelia · Final
Oct 31
Cadence Brace
W50 Morelia · Semifinals
Oct 30
Julia Garcia
W50 Morelia · Quarterfinals
Oct 29
Maria Sholokhova
W50 Morelia · 2nd Round
Oct 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–80 matches
| Metric | Cherubini | Rapolu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 69% |
| Sets won | 44% | 67% |
| Games won | 48% | 58% |