Diego Dedura vs Jan ChoinskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฉ๐ชDiego Dedura
#190 ยท 18 yrs ยท L
1 meeting ยท sets 0โ2

๐ฌ๐งJan Choinski
#75 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
3TitleDiego Dedura and Jan Choinski have met 1 time since 2026; Jan Choinski leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Dedura has taken 0 sets to Choinski's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jan Choinski won at Braunschweig Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dedura | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diego Dedura | Jan Choinski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 36/45 | 56% | 27/48 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 39% | 11/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 17/71 | 42% | 32/76 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 24/38 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 11/25 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 41/45 | 92% | 33/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 36/45 | 75% | 27/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dedura 0, Choinski 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dedura
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Choinski
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs โ๏ธ The Gladiator across 1,159 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jan Choinski.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 10, 2026
Braunschweig Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dedura | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diego Dedura | Jan Choinski | ||
| 1 or more | 55% | 12/22 | 100% | 28/28 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 3/22 | 96% | 27/28 |
| 5 or more | 5% | 1/22 | 71% | 20/28 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 25% | 7/28 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 7% | 2/28 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/28 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Dedura | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ8 | 18โ9 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -3.8% | +5.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.73u | +1.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dedura | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 185 mi ยท 297 km | 5,992 mi ยท 9,643 km |
| Route | GER | GER โ USA โ CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Choinski has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Dedura's 20%).
| Opponent | Dedura | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 26 36 | L 67 76 67 |
| Max Hans Rehberg | L 16 46 | W 26 75 64 |
| Zsombor Piros | L 36 26 | W 76 76 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | L 67 36 | L 46 67 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 46 46 | L 64 26 57 26 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 26 46 | W 63 75 62 |
| Miguel Damas | W 63 64 | W 46 64 64 |
| Luka Mikrut | L 46 46 | L 36 36 |
| Tom Gentzsch | L 36 75 46 | W 64 64 |
| Daniel Elahi Galan | W 64 75 | W 26 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Max Hans Rehberg
Hamburg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Zsombor Piros
Hagen Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Dominik Recek
Hagen Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Otto Virtanen
Tampere Challenger ยท Final
Jul 26
Gauthier Onclin
Tampere Challenger ยท Semifinals
Jul 25
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
Tampere Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Guido Ivan Justo
Tampere Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 23
Nicolas Kicker
Tampere Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger ยท Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Francesco Passaro
Bonn Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 71โ78 matches
| Metric | Dedura | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 63% |
| Sets won | 62% | 58% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dedura | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dedura | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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