Denis Yevseyev vs Yanki ErelPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Yevseyev and Yanki Erel have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Astana Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Yevseyev has taken 3 sets to Erel's 2. Their most recent meeting: Yanki Erel won at Istanbul Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yevseyev | Erel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Yevseyev | Yanki Erel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 17/33 | 76% | 42/55 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 16/38 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 32/71 | 27% | 19/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 14/33 | 55% | 30/55 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 9/19 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 90% | 47/52 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 17/28 | 81% | 42/52 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yevseyev 1, Erel 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yevseyev
🧱 The Wall
Erel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 54% vs 🧱 The Wall across 753 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yanki Erel.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
Istanbul Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 29, 2023
Astana Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Yevseyev | Erel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Yevseyev | Yanki Erel | ||
| 1 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 67% | 10/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Yevseyev | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–10 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | 1.45 |
| ROI % | -58.1% | +5.1% |
| Units P/L | -8.13u | +0.81u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Yevseyev | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TUR → GER | TUR → TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Erel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Yevseyev's 40%).
| Opponent | Yevseyev | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Luca Castelnuovo | L 46 76 16 | L 46 46 |
| Vadym Ursu | L 64 36 36 | W 61 64 |
| Sergey Fomin | W 76 60 | W 62 36 76 |
| Mukund Sasikumar | W 36 62 63 | W 36 76 64 |
| Hynek Barton | L 26 26 | W 75 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jannik Maute
M25 Ueberlingen · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Matteo Covato
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 18
Matej Dodig
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Yanki Erel
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Vadym Ursu
Samsun Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Tuncay Duran
Samsun Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Guy Den Ouden
Bunschoten Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Gerard Campana Lee
Bunschoten challenger
Jul 13
Luca Castelnuovo
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Hikaru Shiraishi
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Kokoro Isomura
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Denis Yevseyev
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Paul Inchauspe
Samsun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Radu Albot
Samsun Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Arda Azkara
Samsun Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Matteo Martineau
Segovia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 70–71 matches
| Metric | Yevseyev | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 79% |
| Sets won | 47% | 73% |
| Games won | 49% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yevseyev | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yevseyev | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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