Denis Yevseyev vs Matteo CovatoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Yevseyev and Matteo Covato have met 1 time since 2026; Denis Yevseyev leads 1–0. Across all meetings Yevseyev has taken 2 sets to Covato's 0. Their most recent meeting: Denis Yevseyev won at M25 Ueberlingen (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yevseyev | Covato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Yevseyev | Matteo Covato | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 18/33 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 14/38 | 24% | 9/38 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 29/71 | 25% | 15/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 15/33 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 11/28 | 37% | 14/38 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 9/20 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 18/28 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yevseyev 1, Covato 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yevseyev
🪃 Counterpuncher
Covato
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matteo Covato.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 18, 2026
M25 Ueberlingen
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Yevseyev | Covato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Yevseyev | Matteo Covato | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 5 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Yevseyev | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 4–10 |
| Avg odds | 2.54 | 5.66 |
| ROI % | -18.9% | -27.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.65u | -3.79u |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ji Sung Nam
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Petr Bar Biryukov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Hanyi Liu
Shanghai Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Ilia Simakin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Svyatoslav Gulin
Augsburg Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Mirza Basic
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Jannik Maute
M25 Ueberlingen · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Matteo Covato
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 18
Lucas Andrade Da Silva
M15 Quito · Semifinals
Oct 10
Felipe De Dios
M15 Quito · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Mwendwa Mbithi
M15 Quito · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Dakotah Bobo
M15 Quito · 1st Round
Oct 6
Stefan Seifert
M15 Forbach · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Victor Barrere
M15 Forbach · 1st Round
Sep 22
Izan Almazan Valiente
Biella Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Leo Raquillet
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–71 matches
| Metric | Yevseyev | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 37% |
| Sets won | 47% | 39% |
| Games won | 49% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yevseyev | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yevseyev | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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