Denis Yevseyev vs Matteo CovatoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Yevseyev and Matteo Covato have met 1 time since 2026; Denis Yevseyev leads 1–0. Across all meetings Yevseyev has taken 2 sets to Covato's 0. Their most recent meeting: Denis Yevseyev won at M25 Ueberlingen (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yevseyev | Covato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Yevseyev | Matteo Covato | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 17/33 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 16/38 | 22% | 8/36 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 32/71 | 25% | 13/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 14/33 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 30% | 10/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 9/19 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 71% | 15/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 17/28 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yevseyev 1, Covato 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yevseyev
🧱 The Wall
Covato
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🧱 The Wall across 482 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matteo Covato.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 18, 2026
M25 Ueberlingen
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Yevseyev | Covato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Yevseyev | Matteo Covato | ||
| 1 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Yevseyev | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–10 | 0–10 |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | 5.39 |
| ROI % | -58.1% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -8.13u | -10.00u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Yevseyev | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TUR → GER | SUI → GER → NED |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jannik Maute
M25 Ueberlingen · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Matteo Covato
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 18
Matej Dodig
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Yanki Erel
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Vadym Ursu
Samsun Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Tuncay Duran
Samsun Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Guy Den Ouden
Bunschoten Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Gerard Campana Lee
Bunschoten challenger
Jul 13
Luca Wiedenmann
M25 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 26
Denis Yevseyev
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 18
Adrien Berrut
M25 Muttenz · 1st Round
Aug 11
Joshua Peck
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 29
Oliver Sanders
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 21
Justin Schlageter
M25 Marburg · 1st Round
Jul 1
Noah Karma
M25 Klosters · 1st Round
Jun 16
Jan Kumstat
M25 Ceska Lipa · 1st Round
Jun 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–71 matches
| Metric | Yevseyev | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 32% |
| Sets won | 47% | 35% |
| Games won | 49% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yevseyev | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yevseyev | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.