Head-to-Head

Denis Yevseyev vs Ilia SimakinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇰🇿Denis Yevseyev

#440 · 33 yrs · R

0–0

First meeting

🇷🇺Ilia Simakin

#269 · 22 yrs · R

3wBack after 3w off

Upcoming match

Tournament: Zhangjiagang Challenger
Level: ATP Challenger Tour
Round: 1st Round
Surface: Hard
Date & time: August 30 · 10:00 PM ET

Book odds

Ilia Simakin1.22

Denis Yevseyev3.73

Set spread

Simakin -1.51.69

Yevseyev +1.52.03

Game spread

Simakin -4.51.76

Yevseyev +4.51.94

SimakinHard-court specialist (90%)YevseyevHard-court specialist (59%)

Record at prices like this

Ilia Simakin1.2275% fairWon 83%

Priced around 1.22 or shorter, Ilia Simakin has won 19 of 23 matches, 83% against a fair-price expectation of 82%.

Denis Yevseyev3.7325% fairWon 23%

Priced around 3.73 or longer, Denis Yevseyev has won 13 of 57 matches, 23% against a fair-price expectation of 20%.

Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.

Denis Yevseyev and Ilia Simakin meet next at the Zhangjiagang Challenger on August 30 on hard.

Share this matchup

Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Yevseyev	Simakin
Indicator	Denis Yevseyev		Ilia Simakin
Wins in straight sets	52%	17/33	47%	18/38
Wins a set when losing	42%	16/38	42%	11/26
Goes to a deciding set	45%	32/71	48%	31/64
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	42%	14/33	41%	15/37
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	46%	13/28	59%	13/22
Tiebreak sets won	47%	9/19	50%	14/28
Wins after taking set 1	75%	21/28	84%	26/31
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	61%	17/28	58%	18/31

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Yevseyev

🧱 The Wall

Elite returnerLow unforced errorsExtreme consistencyPhysical endurance

Simakin

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🧱 The Wall across 482 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ilia Simakin.

Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Yevseyev and Simakin have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Yevseyev	Simakin
Outcome	Denis Yevseyev		Ilia Simakin
1 or more	64%	7/11	91%	10/11
3 or more	27%	3/11	73%	8/11
5 or more	0%	0/11	55%	6/11
10 or more	0%	0/11	27%	3/11
15 or more	0%	0/11	9%	1/11
20 or more	0%	0/11	0%	0/11

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Yevseyev	Simakin
W-L	4–10	7–6
Avg odds	2.35	2.10
ROI %	-58.1%	-2.4%
Units P/L	-8.13u	-0.31u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Yevseyev	Simakin
Countries	2	1
Events	3	1
Matches	4	5
Distance	—	0 mi · 0 km
Route	TUR → GER	TUR

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 2 shared opponents, both Yevseyev and Simakin posted a 50% win rate.

Opponent	Yevseyev	Simakin
Dimitar Kuzmanov	L 36 64 06	L 63 46 26
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	W 64 67 64	W 46 62 76

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Yevseyev

LWLLLWLL

Jannik Maute

M25 Ueberlingen · 2nd Round

6³7

76⁵

Aug 20

Matteo Covato

M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round

Aug 18

Matej Dodig

Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round

Aug 11

Yanki Erel

Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round

Aug 4

Vadym Ursu

Samsun Challenger · 2nd Round

Jul 30

Tuncay Duran

Samsun Challenger · 1st Round

6⁵7

Jul 28

Guy Den Ouden

Bunschoten Challenger · 1st Round

Jul 14

Gerard Campana Lee

Bunschoten challenger

Jul 13

Simakin

LWWWWLWL

Lucas Poullain

Istanbul Challenger · Final

Aug 9

Antoine Ghibaudo

Istanbul Challenger · Semifinals

76⁵

76²

Aug 8

Florent Bax

Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals

6⁷7

Aug 7

Fajing Sun

Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round

76⁴

Aug 5

Adrian Boitan

Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round

Aug 3

Lautaro Midon

Iasi Challenger · 2nd Round

Jul 8

Tomas Barrios Vera

Iasi Challenger · 1st Round

76⁷

Jul 7

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Brasov Challenger · 1st Round

Jun 30

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–71 matches

Metric	Yevseyev	Simakin
Matches won	46%	59%
Sets won	47%	55%
Games won	49%	52%