Dayeon Back vs Lea NilssonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dayeon Back and Lea Nilsson have met 1 time since 2026; Lea Nilsson leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Nilsson leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Back has taken 0 sets to Nilsson's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lea Nilsson won at W50 Horb (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Back | Nilsson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayeon Back | Lea Nilsson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 41/49 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 4/23 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 17% | 12/72 | 30% | 14/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 32/51 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 18% | 2/11 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 45/47 | 84% | 27/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 87% | 41/47 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Back 0, Nilsson 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Back
👑 The Complete Package
Nilsson
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,228 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Dayeon Back.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 26, 2026
W50 Horb
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Back | Nilsson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dayeon Back | Lea Nilsson | ||
| 1 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Back | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.58 |
| ROI % | -27.3% | -4.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.01u | -0.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Back | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POR | KAZ → ECU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Back has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Nilsson's 50%).
| Opponent | Back | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| Khongorzul Aldarkhishig | W 60 60 | W 63 62 |
| Madelief Hageman | W 61 64 | W 76 76 |
| Alicia Herrero Linana | L 36 67 | L 16 26 |
| Haruka Kaji | W 61 75 | L 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maya Joint
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Yue Yuan
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Viktoria Morvayova
W50 Guiyang · 1st Round
Sep 9
Mei Yamaguchi
W75 Tianjin · 1st Round
Sep 1
Laima Vladson
W50 Hamburg · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
W50 Hamburg · 1st Round
Aug 12
Julie Pastikova
W75 Leipzig · 1st Round
Aug 5
Xinxin Yao
W75 Hechingen · 1st Round
Jul 29
Susan Bandecchi
W75 Quinta do Lago · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Petra Sedlackova
W75 Quinta do Lago · 1st Round
Sep 29
Elizabeth Jurna
W75 Quinta do Lago · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Lea Boskovic
W50 Yecla · 1st Round
Sep 22
Selena Janicijevic
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 26
Darya Astakhova
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Maria Golovina
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Jana Bojovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–72 matches
| Metric | Back | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 61% |
| Sets won | 65% | 61% |
| Games won | 56% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Back | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ITF W50 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Back | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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