Dayeon Back vs Lea NilssonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dayeon Back and Lea Nilsson have met 1 time since 2026; Lea Nilsson leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Nilsson leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Back has taken 0 sets to Nilsson's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lea Nilsson won at W50 Horb (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Back | Nilsson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayeon Back | Lea Nilsson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 85% | 44/52 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 6/23 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 19% | 14/75 | 30% | 11/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 35/53 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 3/12 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 47/50 | 81% | 22/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 88% | 44/50 | 70% | 19/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Back 0, Nilsson 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Back
👑 The Complete Package
Nilsson
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,688 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Dayeon Back.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 26, 2026
W50 Horb
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Back | Nilsson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dayeon Back | Lea Nilsson | ||
| 1 or more | 39% | 7/18 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 3 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Back | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.41 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | -13.2% | +2.5% |
| Units P/L | -2.24u | +0.32u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Back | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → POR | POR → DEN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Back has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Nilsson's 40%).
| Opponent | Back | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| Khongorzul Aldarkhishig | W 60 60 | W 63 62 |
| Madelief Hageman | W 61 64 | W 76 76 |
| Alicia Herrero Linana | L 36 67 | L 16 26 |
| Sandra Samir | W 63 62 | L 16 67 |
| Haruka Kaji | W 61 75 | L 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Laima Vladson
W50 Hamburg · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Arina Gabriela Vasilescu
W50 Hamburg · 1st Round
Aug 12
Julie Pastikova
W75 Leipzig · 1st Round
Aug 5
Xinxin Yao
W75 Hechingen · 1st Round
Jul 29
Lea Nilsson
W50 Horb · Final
Jul 26
Loes Ebeling Koning
W50 Horb · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Madelief Hageman
W50 Horb · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Oana Georgeta Simion
W50 Horb · 1st Round
Jul 22
Selena Janicijevic
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 26
Darya Astakhova
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Dayeon Back
W50 Horb · Final
Jul 26
Charo Esquiva Banuls
W50 Horb · Semifinals
Jul 25
Francesca Parcelli
W50 Horb · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Margaux Rouvroy
W50 Horb · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Fiona Ganz
W50 Horb · 1st Round
Jul 22
Alicia Herrero Linana
W50 Darmstadt · 1st Round
Jul 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–75 matches
| Metric | Back | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 62% |
| Sets won | 67% | 62% |
| Games won | 57% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Back | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ITF W50 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Back | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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