Dayana Yastremska vs Sofia KeninPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπ¦Dayana Yastremska
#112 Β· 26 yrs Β· Right-Handed
34 meetings Β· sets 4β5

πΊπΈSofia Kenin
#110 Β· 27 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Dayana Yastremska and Sofia Kenin have met 4 times since 2019; they are level 2β2. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2019 on grass. On hard courts Kenin leads 2β1. Across all meetings Yastremska has taken 4 sets to Kenin's 5. Their most recent meeting: Sofia Kenin won at Open P2i Angers Arena Loire - Angers (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yastremska | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayana Yastremska | Sofia Kenin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 12/17 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 14/39 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 7/19 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 11/19 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 12/17 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 43% | 6/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yastremska 1, Kenin 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yastremska
π₯ Big Hitter
Kenin
π― Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The π₯ Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs π― Baseliner across 330 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Dayana Yastremska.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Dec 6, 2022
Open P2i Angers Arena Loire - Angers
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Feb 25, 2020
Qatar Total Open - Doha
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Aug 8, 2019
Toronto
H Hard Β· Round of 16
Jul 3, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass Β· Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Yastremska | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dayana Yastremska | Sofia Kenin | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3β5 | 3β6 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 3.27 |
| ROI % | -51.6% | -32.7% |
| Units P/L | -4.13u | -2.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,304 mi Β· 2,098 km | 0 mi Β· 0 km |
| Route | POL β AUT | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Kenin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Yastremska's 14%).
| Opponent | Yastremska | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Paolini | L 57 36 | L 36 06 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | L 64 57 67 | W 36 76 63 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 26 64 75 | W 76 64 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 64 46 46 | W 64 46 63 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 76 36 | L 67 63 26 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 06 16 | L 61 46 16 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 36 06 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham Β· 2nd Round
Jun 17
Alicia Dudeney
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham Β· 1st Round
Jun 16
Ajla Tomljanovic
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch Β· 2nd Round
Jun 12
Sara Bejlek
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch Β· 1st Round
Jun 9
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 15
Emma Navarro
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 27
Amanda Anisimova
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 2
Petra Marcinko
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Daria Snigur
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Viktorija Golubic
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham Β· 1st Round
Jun 16
Viktorija Golubic
Nottingham
Jun 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 36β39 matches
| Metric | Yastremska | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 33% |
| Sets won | 47% | 38% |
| Games won | 48% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yastremska | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yastremska | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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