Dayana Yastremska vs Sofia KeninPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπ¦Dayana Yastremska
#103 Β· 26 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4 meetings Β· sets 4β5

πΊπΈSofia Kenin
#125 Β· 27 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4Dayana Yastremska and Sofia Kenin have met 4 times since 2019; they are level 2β2. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2019 on grass. On hard courts Kenin leads 2β1. Across all meetings Yastremska has taken 4 sets to Kenin's 5. Their most recent meeting: Sofia Kenin won at Open P2i Angers Arena Loire - Angers (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yastremska | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayana Yastremska | Sofia Kenin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 13/18 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 15/41 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 7/21 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 11/16 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 40% | 6/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yastremska 1, Kenin 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yastremska
π₯ Big Hitter
Kenin
π― Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The π₯ Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs π― Baseliner across 404 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Dayana Yastremska.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Dec 6, 2022
Open P2i Angers Arena Loire - Angers
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Feb 25, 2020
Qatar Total Open - Doha
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Aug 8, 2019
Toronto
H Hard Β· Round of 16
Jul 3, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass Β· Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Yastremska | Kenin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dayana Yastremska | Sofia Kenin | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2β4 | 2β7 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 3.54 |
| ROI % | -14.7% | -63.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -5.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | 1,246 mi Β· 2,005 km |
| Route | ROU | POR β ROU β CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Yastremska and Kenin posted a 14% win rate.
| Opponent | Yastremska | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 26 64 75 | L 36 36 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 75 26 36 | L 36 16 |
| Lucrezia Stefanini | L 36 64 16 | L 57 61 26 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 64 46 46 | W 64 46 63 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 26 76 36 | L 67 63 26 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 06 16 | L 61 46 16 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 36 06 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing Β· 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maja Chwalinska
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 2
Caty Mcnally
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Sep 30
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 30
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Kamilla Rakhimova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Ashlyn Krueger
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Alina Charaeva
Korea Open - Seoul Β· 1st Round
Sep 22
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Venus Williams
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 15
Lucrezia Stefanini
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 36β41 matches
| Metric | Yastremska | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 28% |
| Sets won | 47% | 36% |
| Games won | 48% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yastremska | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yastremska | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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