Dayana Yastremska vs Nadia PodoroskaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπ¦Dayana Yastremska
#103 Β· 26 yrs Β· Right-Handed
2 meetings Β· sets 3β2

π¦π·Nadia Podoroska
#203 Β· 29 yrs Β· Right-Handed
3w4Dayana Yastremska and Nadia Podoroska have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2024 on grass. Across all meetings Yastremska has taken 3 sets to Podoroska's 2. Their most recent meeting: Nadia Podoroska won at China Open - Beijing (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yastremska | Podoroska | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayana Yastremska | Nadia Podoroska | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 72% | 23/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 15/42 | 37% | 16/43 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 7/21 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 12/17 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 87% | 27/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 74% | 23/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yastremska 1, Podoroska 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yastremska
π₯ Big Hitter
Podoroska
πͺ Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The π₯ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs πͺ Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Dayana Yastremska.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 28, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Yastremska | Podoroska | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dayana Yastremska | Nadia Podoroska | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Podoroska |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2β4 | 8β6 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 3.69 |
| ROI % | -14.7% | +36.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | +5.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Podoroska |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | 0 mi Β· 0 km |
| Route | ROU | BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Podoroska has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Yastremska's 0%).
| Opponent | Yastremska | Podoroska |
|---|---|---|
| Lucrezia Stefanini | L 36 64 16 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing Β· 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maja Chwalinska
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 2
Caty Mcnally
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Sep 30
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 30
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Kaitlin Quevedo
SP Open - Sao Paulo Β· Final
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
SP Open - Sao Paulo Β· Semifinals
Sep 19
Suzan Lamens
SP Open - Sao Paulo Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Eva Lys
SP Open - Sao Paulo Β· 2nd Round
Sep 17
Lucrezia Stefanini
SP Open - Sao Paulo Β· 1st Round
Sep 15
Anna Blinkova
Kia Open - Barranquilla Β· 2nd Round
Sep 10
Ena Koike
Kia Open - Barranquilla Β· 1st Round
Sep 8
Iga Swiatek
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 42β43 matches
| Metric | Yastremska | Podoroska |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 74% |
| Sets won | 48% | 70% |
| Games won | 48% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yastremska | Podoroska |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yastremska | Podoroska |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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