Dayana Yastremska vs Mccartney KesslerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Dayana Yastremska
#103 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 2–5
🇺🇸Mccartney Kessler
#95 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
7wDayana Yastremska and Mccartney Kessler have met 3 times since 2023; Mccartney Kessler leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Open Angers Arena Loire - Angers in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Kessler has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Kessler leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Yastremska has taken 2 sets to Kessler's 5. Their most recent meeting: Mccartney Kessler won at Rothesay Open - Nottingham (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yastremska | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayana Yastremska | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 15/42 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 7/21 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 12/17 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 70% | 14/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yastremska 0, Kessler 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yastremska
💥 Big Hitter
Kessler
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Dayana Yastremska and Mccartney Kessler are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 22, 2025
Rothesay Open - Nottingham
G Grass · Final
Jan 9, 2025
Hobart International - Hobart
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Dec 8, 2023
Open Angers Arena Loire - Angers
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Yastremska | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dayana Yastremska | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | -14.7% | -77.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -3.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Yastremska and Kessler posted a 43% win rate.
| Opponent | Yastremska | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Caty Mcnally | W 63 64 | L 36 46 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 36 06 | L 26 26 |
| Janice Tjen | L 62 36 67 | W 62 61 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 16 | L 67 16 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 64 46 76 | W 36 75 63 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 61 62 | W 63 62 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 75 26 36 | L 06 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maja Chwalinska
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Caty Mcnally
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cadence Brace
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Madison Keys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–43 matches
| Metric | Yastremska | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 49% |
| Sets won | 48% | 48% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yastremska | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yastremska | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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