Dayana Yastremska vs Mccartney KesslerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Dayana Yastremska
#112 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
33 meetings · sets 2–5
🇺🇸Mccartney Kessler
#65 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Dayana Yastremska and Mccartney Kessler have met 3 times since 2023; Mccartney Kessler leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Open Angers Arena Loire - Angers in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Kessler has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Kessler leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Yastremska has taken 2 sets to Kessler's 5. Their most recent meeting: Mccartney Kessler won at Rothesay Open - Nottingham (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yastremska | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayana Yastremska | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 12/17 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 14/39 | 34% | 15/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 7/19 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 11/19 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 12/17 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 64% | 14/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yastremska 0, Kessler 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yastremska
💥 Big Hitter
Kessler
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Dayana Yastremska and Mccartney Kessler are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 22, 2025
Rothesay Open - Nottingham
G Grass · Final
Jan 9, 2025
Hobart International - Hobart
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Dec 8, 2023
Open Angers Arena Loire - Angers
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Yastremska | Kessler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dayana Yastremska | Mccartney Kessler | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 2.40 |
| ROI % | -51.6% | -45.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.13u | -4.98u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,304 mi · 2,098 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | POL → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kessler has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Yastremska's 33%).
| Opponent | Yastremska | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Janice Tjen | L 62 36 67 | W 62 61 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 16 | L 67 16 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 64 46 76 | W 36 75 63 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 36 06 | L 36 36 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 61 62 | W 63 62 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 75 26 36 | L 06 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Alicia Dudeney
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ajla Tomljanovic
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Sara Bejlek
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 9
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cadence Brace
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Madison Keys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Anhelina Kalinina
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–44 matches
| Metric | Yastremska | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 48% |
| Sets won | 47% | 49% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yastremska | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yastremska | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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