Darya Astakhova vs Yuki NaitoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Darya Astakhova
#174 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
31 meeting · sets 2–0
🇯🇵Yuki Naito
#290 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
5Darya Astakhova and Yuki Naito have met 1 time since 2026; Darya Astakhova leads 1–0. Across all meetings Astakhova has taken 2 sets to Naito's 0. Their most recent meeting: Darya Astakhova won at W75 Tianjin (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Astakhova | Naito | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Darya Astakhova | Yuki Naito | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 28/48 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 29/71 | 30% | 17/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 21/44 | 56% | 14/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 15/24 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 38/43 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 28/43 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Astakhova 1, Naito 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Astakhova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Naito
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yuki Naito.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 1, 2026
W75 Tianjin
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Astakhova | Naito | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Darya Astakhova | Yuki Naito | ||
| 1 or more | 46% | 11/24 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 3 or more | 4% | 1/24 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 4% | 1/24 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Astakhova | Naito |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–7 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | +19.4% | -1.9% |
| Units P/L | +4.08u | -0.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Astakhova | Naito |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POR → ROU | EST → UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Astakhova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Naito's 38%).
| Opponent | Astakhova | Naito |
|---|---|---|
| Renata Zarazua | L | L |
| Alexandra Shubladze | W 64 64 | L 16 36 |
| Patcharin Cheapchadej | W 63 63 | L 36 67 |
| Miho Kuramochi | W 64 63 | W 46 75 62 |
| Xinxin Yao | W 64 75 | W 64 62 |
| Lisa Pigato | W 63 26 63 | L 67 46 |
| Ekaterina Maklakova | W 63 46 63 | L 57 36 |
| Kyoka Okamura | W 61 62 | W 06 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Renata Zarazua
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Sofia Costoulas
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 5
Maddison Inglis
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Desirae Krawczyk
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alina Korneeva
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Magda Linette
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Alexandra Shubladze
Korea Open - Seoul · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Haruka Kaji
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 19
Alexis Nguyen
W50 Lexington · 1st Round
Oct 7
Ayla Aksu
Ankara Open - Ankara · 1st Round
Sep 21
Alexandra Shubladze
W50 Guiyang · 1st Round
Sep 8
Darya Astakhova
W75 Tianjin · 1st Round
Sep 1
Renata Zarazua
W100 Evansville · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Madison Brengle
W100 Evansville · 1st Round
Jul 23
Fiona Crawley
W100 Evansville · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Boyoung Jeong
W100 Evansville · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–72 matches
| Metric | Astakhova | Naito |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 61% |
| Sets won | 61% | 59% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Astakhova | Naito |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W75 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Astakhova | Naito |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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