Darya Astakhova vs Lea NilssonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Darya Astakhova
#226 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇸🇪Lea Nilsson
#371 · 17 yrs · Left-Handed
Darya Astakhova and Lea Nilsson have met 1 time since 2026; Darya Astakhova leads 1–0. Across all meetings Astakhova has taken 2 sets to Nilsson's 0. Their most recent meeting: Darya Astakhova won at W75 Kursumlijska Banja (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Astakhova | Nilsson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Darya Astakhova | Lea Nilsson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 24/42 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 26/64 | 30% | 11/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 18/41 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 20% | 1/5 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 34/39 | 81% | 22/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 24/39 | 70% | 19/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Astakhova 1, Nilsson 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Astakhova
⚔️ The Gladiator
Nilsson
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Darya Astakhova and Lea Nilsson are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,574 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 19, 2026
W75 Kursumlijska Banja
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Astakhova | Nilsson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Darya Astakhova | Lea Nilsson | ||
| 1 or more | 44% | 7/16 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Astakhova | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | +3.9% | +2.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.58u | +0.32u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Astakhova | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | FRA → POR | POR → DEN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Astakhova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nilsson's 67%).
| Opponent | Astakhova | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| Irene Burillo | W 75 63 | W 63 62 |
| Margaux Rouvroy | W 64 64 | W 63 26 61 |
| Haruka Kaji | W 61 61 | L 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Lea Nilsson
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Luna Vujovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Elena Milovanovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Antonia Vergara Rivera
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 11
Berfu Cengiz
W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · 1st Round
Jul 28
Francesca Jones
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · 1st Round
Jul 21
Noma Noha Akugue
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Selena Janicijevic
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 26
Darya Astakhova
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Dayeon Back
W50 Horb · Final
Jul 26
Charo Esquiva Banuls
W50 Horb · Semifinals
Jul 25
Francesca Parcelli
W50 Horb · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Margaux Rouvroy
W50 Horb · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Fiona Ganz
W50 Horb · 1st Round
Jul 22
Alicia Herrero Linana
W50 Darmstadt · 1st Round
Jul 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–65 matches
| Metric | Astakhova | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 62% |
| Sets won | 59% | 62% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Astakhova | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W75 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Astakhova | Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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