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Head-to-Head

Darya Astakhova vs Han ShiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Upcoming match

Tournament
W75 Tianjin
Level
ITF W75
Round
Quarterfinals
Surface
Hard
Date & time
September 3 ยท 10:00 PM ET

Book odds

Han Shi1.51
Darya Astakhova2.22

Set spread

Shi -1.52.20
Astakhova +1.51.56

Game spread

Shi -31.80
Astakhova +31.82
ShiHard-court specialist (96%)AstakhovaClay-court specialist (72%)

Record at prices like this

Han Shi1.5160% fairWon 81%

Priced around 1.51 or shorter, Han Shi has won 22 of 27 matches, 81% against a fair-price expectation of 68%.

Darya Astakhova2.2240% fairWon 47%

Priced around 2.22 or longer, Darya Astakhova has won 7 of 15 matches, 47% against a fair-price expectation of 34%.

Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.

Darya Astakhova and Han Shi meet in the quarterfinals of the W75 Tianjin on hard court on September 3. Astakhova, ranked 227, carries a two-match winning streak into the round. Han Shi sits at 264 in the rankings but arrives in sharper form, having won her last seven matches.

The two have never faced each other. Han Shi has converted 85% of her hard court matches in recent play, a notably higher rate than Astakhova's 65%. Astakhova has gone 4-1 over her last five matches while Han Shi is perfect in that span, having played seven matches in the past fortnight compared to Astakhova's three.

Astakhova competes through intensity and sustained pressure; Han Shi operates with a more complete toolkit across the court. Han Shi's dominance on hard surfaces in recent play stands out, though Astakhova has shown the capacity to beat quality opponents, including a recent win over Xinyu Gao that Han Shi did not achieve. The match will test whether Han Shi's current form and hard court proficiency can withstand Astakhova's willingness to impose her game.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months

IndicatorAstakhovaShi
Wins in straight sets60%61%
Wins a set when losing38%50%
Goes to a deciding set39%42%
Covers โˆ’1.5 sets as favorite45%48%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog60%64%
Tiebreak sets won29%43%
Wins after taking set 185%81%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 163%70%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Astakhova

โš”๏ธ The Gladiator

Physical intensityBalanced gameStrong in deciding setsCompetitive fighter
vs

Shi

๐Ÿ‘‘ The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

The ๐Ÿ‘‘ The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs โš”๏ธ The Gladiator across 3,305 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Han Shi.

The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Astakhova and Shi have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days

OutcomeAstakhovaShi
1 or more47%64%
3 or more12%48%
5 or more6%20%
10 or more0%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days

MetricAstakhovaShi
W-L9โ€“721โ€“4
Avg odds1.871.64
ROI %-13.6%+33.3%
Units P/L-2.17u+8.32u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricAstakhovaShi
Countries42
Events42
Matches86
Distanceโ€”โ€”
RouteFRA โ†’ POR โ†’ NED โ†’ ITAUSA โ†’ ITA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months

Astakhova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Shi's 40%).

OpponentAstakhovaShi
Haruka Kaji
W
61
61
W
46
64
61
Marina Bassols Ribera
L
64
67
36
W
46
62
64
Irene Burillo
W
75
63
W
62
61
Martyna Kubka
L
16
26
L
64
16
57
Xinyu Gao
W
64
61
L
57
36
Xinxin Yao
W
64
75
L
26
46
Jiaqi Wang
W
63
61
L
16
36
Noemi Basiletti
W
26
61
63
W
75
46
61
Alexandra Shubladze
L
64
16
16
L
16
06
Katarina Zavatska
W
62
62
L
16
76
36

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Astakhova
WWLWWLWW
W

Miho Kuramochi

W75 Tianjin ยท 2nd Round

64
63

Sep 3

W

Yuki Naito

W75 Tianjin ยท 1st Round

61
765

Sep 1

L

Marina Bassols Ribera

U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying

64
607
36

Aug 25

W

Lucija Ciric Bagaric

W75 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 2nd Round

57
760
61

Aug 20

W

Lea Nilsson

W75 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 1st Round

63
61

Aug 19

L

Luna Vujovic

W75 Kursumlijska Banja ยท Quarterfinals

36
06

Aug 14

W

Elena Milovanovic

W75 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 2nd Round

61
75

Aug 13

W

Antonia Vergara Rivera

W75 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 1st Round

63
63

Aug 11

Shi
WWWWWWWL
W

Haruka Kaji

W75 Tianjin ยท 2nd Round

46
64
61

Sep 3

W

Rina Saigo

W75 Tianjin ยท 1st Round

64
64

Sep 2

W

Jiangxue Han

W15 Tianjin ยท Final

63
61

Aug 30

W

Vaishnavi Adkar

W15 Tianjin ยท Semifinals

61
60

Aug 29

W

Jia Jing Lu

W15 Tianjin ยท Quarterfinals

61
64

Aug 28

W

Yingqun Sun

W15 Tianjin ยท 2nd Round

63
61

Aug 27

W

Unknown Player

W15 Tianjin ยท 1st Round

62
61

Aug 25

L

Martyna Kubka

W75 Vitoria Gasteiz ยท Quarterfinals

64
16
57

Jul 17

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 68โ€“73 matches

MetricAstakhovaShi
Matches won63%67%
Sets won59%62%
Games won54%56%