Darya Astakhova vs Han ShiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- W75 Tianjin
- Level
- ITF W75
- Round
- Quarterfinals
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 3 ยท 10:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.51 or shorter, Han Shi has won 22 of 27 matches, 81% against a fair-price expectation of 68%.
Priced around 2.22 or longer, Darya Astakhova has won 7 of 15 matches, 47% against a fair-price expectation of 34%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Darya Astakhova and Han Shi meet in the quarterfinals of the W75 Tianjin on hard court on September 3. Astakhova, ranked 227, carries a two-match winning streak into the round. Han Shi sits at 264 in the rankings but arrives in sharper form, having won her last seven matches.
The two have never faced each other. Han Shi has converted 85% of her hard court matches in recent play, a notably higher rate than Astakhova's 65%. Astakhova has gone 4-1 over her last five matches while Han Shi is perfect in that span, having played seven matches in the past fortnight compared to Astakhova's three.
Astakhova competes through intensity and sustained pressure; Han Shi operates with a more complete toolkit across the court. Han Shi's dominance on hard surfaces in recent play stands out, though Astakhova has shown the capacity to beat quality opponents, including a recent win over Xinyu Gao that Han Shi did not achieve. The match will test whether Han Shi's current form and hard court proficiency can withstand Astakhova's willingness to impose her game.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Astakhova | Shi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Darya Astakhova | Han Shi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 26/43 | 61% | 30/49 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 9/24 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 26/67 | 42% | 31/73 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 20/44 | 48% | 23/48 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 2/7 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 35/41 | 81% | 35/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 26/41 | 70% | 30/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Astakhova
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Shi
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs โ๏ธ The Gladiator across 3,305 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Han Shi.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Astakhova and Shi have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Astakhova | Shi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Darya Astakhova | Han Shi | ||
| 1 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 64% | 16/25 |
| 3 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 48% | 12/25 |
| 5 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 20% | 5/25 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/25 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Astakhova | Shi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ7 | 21โ4 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | -13.6% | +33.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.17u | +8.32u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Astakhova | Shi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 6 |
| Distance | โ | โ |
| Route | FRA โ POR โ NED โ ITA | USA โ ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Astakhova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Shi's 40%).
| Opponent | Astakhova | Shi |
|---|---|---|
| Haruka Kaji | W 61 61 | W 46 64 61 |
| Marina Bassols Ribera | L 64 67 36 | W 46 62 64 |
| Irene Burillo | W 75 63 | W 62 61 |
| Martyna Kubka | L 16 26 | L 64 16 57 |
| Xinyu Gao | W 64 61 | L 57 36 |
| Xinxin Yao | W 64 75 | L 26 46 |
| Jiaqi Wang | W 63 61 | L 16 36 |
| Noemi Basiletti | W 26 61 63 | W 75 46 61 |
| Alexandra Shubladze | L 64 16 16 | L 16 06 |
| Katarina Zavatska | W 62 62 | L 16 76 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Miho Kuramochi
W75 Tianjin ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yuki Naito
W75 Tianjin ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Marina Bassols Ribera
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
W75 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Lea Nilsson
W75 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Luna Vujovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Elena Milovanovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 2nd Round
Aug 13
Antonia Vergara Rivera
W75 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Haruka Kaji
W75 Tianjin ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rina Saigo
W75 Tianjin ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Jiangxue Han
W15 Tianjin ยท Final
Aug 30
Vaishnavi Adkar
W15 Tianjin ยท Semifinals
Aug 29
Jia Jing Lu
W15 Tianjin ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Yingqun Sun
W15 Tianjin ยท 2nd Round
Aug 27
Unknown Player
W15 Tianjin ยท 1st Round
Aug 25
Martyna Kubka
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 68โ73 matches
| Metric | Astakhova | Shi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 67% |
| Sets won | 59% | 62% |
| Games won | 54% | 56% |