Darya Astakhova vs Francesca JonesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Darya Astakhova
#226 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 0–2
🇬🇧Francesca Jones
#104 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
4wDarya Astakhova and Francesca Jones have met 1 time since 2026; Francesca Jones leads 1–0. Across all meetings Astakhova has taken 0 sets to Jones's 2. Their most recent meeting: Francesca Jones won at Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Astakhova | Jones | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Darya Astakhova | Francesca Jones | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 24/42 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 26/64 | 42% | 19/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 18/41 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 20% | 1/5 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 34/39 | 84% | 21/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 24/39 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Astakhova 0, Jones 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Astakhova
⚔️ The Gladiator
Jones
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,688 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Francesca Jones.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 21, 2026
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Astakhova | Jones | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Darya Astakhova | Francesca Jones | ||
| 1 or more | 44% | 7/16 | 74% | 14/19 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 26% | 5/19 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Astakhova | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 14–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | +3.9% | -1.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.58u | -0.37u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Astakhova | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | FRA → POR | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jones has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Astakhova's 80%).
| Opponent | Astakhova | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Lucija Ciric Bagaric | W 57 76 61 | W 75 63 |
| Chloe Paquet | W 75 63 | W 60 16 60 |
| Noma Noha Akugue | L 75 26 36 | W 63 61 |
| Dalila Spiteri | W 63 67 75 | W 16 61 60 |
| Laura Pigossi | W 63 46 63 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Lea Nilsson
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Luna Vujovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Elena Milovanovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Antonia Vergara Rivera
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 11
Berfu Cengiz
W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · 1st Round
Jul 28
Francesca Jones
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · 1st Round
Jul 21
Noma Noha Akugue
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Alice Rame
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Chloe Paquet
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 1st Round
Jul 28
Fiona Ferro
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · Final
Jul 26
Alevtina Ibragimova
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · Semifinals
Jul 25
Jennifer Ruggeri
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Darya Astakhova
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · 1st Round
Jul 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–65 matches
| Metric | Astakhova | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 64% |
| Sets won | 59% | 59% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Astakhova | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 125 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Astakhova | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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