Darja Semenistaja vs Hayu KinoshitaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Darja Semenistaja
#131 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
4w2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇯🇵Hayu Kinoshita
#221 · 19 yrs
3Darja Semenistaja and Hayu Kinoshita have met 2 times since 2026; Darja Semenistaja leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Semenistaja leads 2–0. Semenistaja has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Semenistaja has taken 4 sets to Kinoshita's 0. Their most recent meeting: Darja Semenistaja won at SP Open - Sao Paulo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Semenistaja | Kinoshita | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Darja Semenistaja | Hayu Kinoshita | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 20/31 | 87% | 34/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 11/29 | 19% | 5/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 22/60 | 15% | 10/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 13/36 | 62% | 24/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 11/23 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 91% | 10/11 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 95% | 37/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 20/33 | 87% | 34/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Semenistaja 2, Kinoshita 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Semenistaja
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kinoshita
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Hayu Kinoshita.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 15, 2026
SP Open - Sao Paulo
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 26, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Semenistaja | Kinoshita | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Darja Semenistaja | Hayu Kinoshita | ||
| 1 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 3 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 5 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Semenistaja | Kinoshita |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.36 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | -35.3% | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.18u | -5.08u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Semenistaja | Kinoshita |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 11,089 mi · 17,846 km |
| Route | BRA | BRA → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Semenistaja has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Kinoshita's 0%).
| Opponent | Semenistaja | Kinoshita |
|---|---|---|
| Cadence Brace | W 63 63 | L 57 67 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | W 76 76 | L 62 46 57 |
| Iryna Shymanovich | W 64 60 | L 36 26 |
| Mai Hontama | W 64 76 | L 16 64 57 |
| Sofia Costoulas | L 64 36 36 | L 46 62 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Teodora Kostovic
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Hayu Kinoshita
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 15
Anastasia Tikhonova
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 1st Round
Sep 7
Anastasia Potapova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Storm Hunter
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Alexandra Shubladze
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Hayu Kinoshita
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Denislava Glushkova
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 12
Jia Jing Lu
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · 1st Round
Sep 28
Darja Semenistaja
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 15
Cadence Brace
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Victoria Rodriguez
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 12
Oceane Dodin
W50 Leiria · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
W50 Leiria · 1st Round
Sep 1
Darja Semenistaja
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Moyuka Uchijima
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–66 matches
| Metric | Semenistaja | Kinoshita |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 59% |
| Sets won | 51% | 58% |
| Games won | 49% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Semenistaja | Kinoshita |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Semenistaja | Kinoshita |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.