Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Tiana Tian DengPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- W35 Qian Daohu
- Level
- ITF W35
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 21 · 3:40 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.19 or shorter, Daria Khomutsianskaya has won 23 of 23 (100%). The price implied 86%, so Daria Khomutsianskaya has beaten it by 14 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Daria Khomutsianskaya and Tiana Tian Deng meet in the first round of the W35 Qian Daohu on October 21 on hard court. Khomutsianskaya, ranked 274, comes in after six matches in two weeks. Deng, ranked 687, has played just once in the past fortnight.
The two have not faced each other. Khomutsianskaya has won four of her last five matches; Deng has won three of her last five. In their recent common opponents, results split unevenly. Khomutsianskaya defeated Adithya Karunaratne and Yingqun Sun while losing to Rina Saigo and Yufei Ren. Tiana Tian Deng beat Saigo, Ren, and Yuhan Wang but fell to Karunaratne and Sun.
Khomutsianskaya holds a 70% hard court record from her recent sample. Tian Deng, a big hitter, sits at 60% on the surface. Khomutsianskaya's complete game and steady baseline work will test Deng's power game over the course of a full match. The question for Deng is whether she can generate enough pace early and convert her opportunities before Khomutsianskaya's consistency compounds the pressure.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Khomutsianskaya | Tian Deng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Khomutsianskaya | Tiana Tian Deng | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 37/50 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 22/72 | 27% | 13/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 62% | 31/50 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 43/48 | 93% | 25/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 37/48 | 78% | 21/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Khomutsianskaya
👑 The Complete Package
Deng
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 4,565 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daria Khomutsianskaya.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Khomutsianskaya and Deng have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Khomutsianskaya | Deng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Khomutsianskaya | Tiana Tian Deng | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 26/28 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 54% | 15/28 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 21% | 6/28 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 3/28 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 4% | 1/28 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Khomutsianskaya | Deng |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–8 | 6–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.67 | 1.58 |
| ROI % | -0.3% | +17.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.06u | +1.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Khomutsianskaya | Deng |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 5 | 3 |
| Events | 5 | 3 |
| Matches | 13 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POL → CHN → ROU → MNE → MEX | AUT → MNE → MEX |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Deng has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Khomutsianskaya's 63%).
| Opponent | Khomutsianskaya | Deng |
|---|---|---|
| Adithya Karunaratne | W | L 26 26 |
| Unknown Player | W 46 64 76 | W 60 60 |
| Yuhan Wang | L 26 06 | W 76 63 |
| Yufei Ren | L 36 64 67 | W 64 36 107 |
| Rina Saigo | L 46 26 | W 75 76 |
| Xi Luo | W 63 60 | W 63 21 |
| Yingqun Sun | W 75 67 63 | L 57 16 |
| Polina Kaibekova | W 63 63 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sijia Wei
W15 Shenzhen · Final
Oct 18
Junhan Zhang
W15 Shenzhen · Semifinals
Oct 17
Adithya Karunaratne
W15 Shenzhen · Quarterfinals
Oct 16
Xiran Lan
W15 Shenzhen · 2nd Round
Oct 15
Xinle Geng
W15 Shenzhen · 1st Round
Oct 13
Katarina Zavatska
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Tyra Caterina Grant
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 6
Katarina Zavatska
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Adithya Karunaratne
W15 Shenzhen · 1st Round
Oct 14
Michika Ozeki
W50 Nanao · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Jia Jing Lu
W50 Nanao · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Yuno Kitahara
W50 Nanao · 1st Round
Sep 23
Sera Nishimoto
W50 Nanao · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Yuna Sugiyama
W50 Nanao · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Natsuki Yoshimoto
W35 Kyoto · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Hiroko Kuwata
W35 Kyoto · 1st Round
Sep 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–72 matches
| Metric | Khomutsianskaya | Deng |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 60% |
| Sets won | 66% | 58% |
| Games won | 58% | 54% |