Daria Egorova vs Valentina Mediorreal AriasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Daria Egorova
#347 · 18 yrs · Right-Handed
7Title1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇨🇴Valentina Mediorreal Arias
#843 · 19 yrs · Right-Handed
5wDaria Egorova and Valentina Mediorreal Arias have met 1 time since 2026; Daria Egorova leads 1–0. Across all meetings Egorova has taken 2 sets to Arias's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daria Egorova won at W35 Pergamino (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Egorova | Mediorreal Arias | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Egorova | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 49/59 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 21% | 5/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 18/76 | 24% | 8/33 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 37/53 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 54/57 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 49/57 | 86% | 6/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Egorova 1, Mediorreal Arias 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Egorova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Arias
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 66% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 3,088 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daria Egorova.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 30, 2026
W35 Pergamino
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Egorova | Arias | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Egorova | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 18/22 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 3 or more | 23% | 5/22 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Egorova | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.39 | 7.39 |
| ROI % | -4.0% | -57.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.85u | -4.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Egorova | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 9 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | EST → CHN → COL | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Egorova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Arias's 20%).
| Opponent | Egorova | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Unknown Player | W 64 60 | W 61 60 |
| Ana Sofia Sanchez | L 06 64 36 | L 26 06 |
| Lourdes Ayala | W 60 63 | L 46 26 |
| Ana Candiotto | W 62 62 | L 26 64 36 |
| Angela Fita Boluda | L 46 26 | L 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Junhan Zhang
W15 Maanshan · Final
Oct 11
Varvara Panshina
W15 Maanshan · Semifinals
Oct 10
Yiru Chen
W15 Maanshan · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Meiqi Guo
W15 Maanshan · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Unknown Player
W15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Oct 7
Guyu Xu
W15 Maanshan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Xiaochuan Nie
W15 Maanshan · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Kristiana Sidorova
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · 1st Round
Sep 29
Anna Blinkova
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 1st Round
Sep 9
Ana Sofia Sanchez
W15 Porto Velho · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Gabriela Kawano Cho
W15 Porto Velho · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Romina Ccuno
W35 Barueri · 1st Round
Aug 26
Lourdes Ayala
W35 Chacabuco · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daria Egorova
W35 Pergamino · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Polina Kaibekova
W35 Pergamino · 1st Round
Jul 29
Maria Carolina Ferreira Turchetto
W35 Sao Paulo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–76 matches
| Metric | Egorova | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 27% |
| Sets won | 74% | 31% |
| Games won | 60% | 40% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Egorova | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Egorova | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.