Daniil Sarksian vs Ryuki MatsudaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Sarksian and Ryuki Matsuda have met 1 time since 2026; Ryuki Matsuda leads 1–0. Across all meetings Sarksian has taken 0 sets to Matsuda's 2. Their most recent meeting: Ryuki Matsuda won at M15 Monastir (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sarksian | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Sarksian | Ryuki Matsuda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 12/25 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 4/31 | 32% | 11/34 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 17/56 | 36% | 20/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 7/21 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 10/30 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 18/18 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 12/18 | 75% | 12/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sarksian 0, Matsuda 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sarksian
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matsuda
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 10, 2026
M15 Monastir
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sarksian | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Sarksian | Ryuki Matsuda | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 42% | 8/19 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 21% | 4/19 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sarksian | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–7 | 10–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.45 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -21.5% | +17.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.58u | +3.11u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sarksian | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | CHN | TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Sarksian and Matsuda posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Sarksian | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Unknown Player | W 62 63 | W 64 63 |
| Nicolas Tepmahc | W 62 76 | L 57 67 |
| Daniil Ostapenkov | L 26 46 | L 67 46 |
| Colin Sinclair | L 57 57 | W 46 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rigele Te
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 19
Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tianjin · 1st Round
Aug 12
Seon Yong Han
M15 Tianjin · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Noritaka Koizumi
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Jul 15
Martin Borisiouk
M15 Wuning · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Viktor Frydrych
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ryuki Matsuda
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jun 10
Lorenzo Bocchi
M15 Tsaghkadzor · Semifinals
Jun 6
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Omar Jasika
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Yu Hsiou Hsu
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Isaac Becroft
M15 Bali · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Gunawan Trismuwantara
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Taisei Ichikawa
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 29
Thanaphat Boosarawongse
M15 Bali · Final
Jul 26
Ryotaro Taguchi
M15 Bali · Semifinals
Jul 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–56 matches
| Metric | Sarksian | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 38% |
| Sets won | 42% | 41% |
| Games won | 47% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sarksian | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sarksian | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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