Daniil Sarksian vs Noel LarwigPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Sarksian and Noel Larwig have met 1 time since 2026; Daniil Sarksian leads 1–0. Across all meetings Sarksian has taken 2 sets to Larwig's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Sarksian won at M15 Tsaghkadzor (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sarksian | Larwig | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Sarksian | Noel Larwig | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 22/38 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 5/34 | 20% | 5/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 21/72 | 22% | 8/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 11/27 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 31% | 9/29 | 26% | 6/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 30/31 | 100% | 9/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 22/31 | 89% | 8/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sarksian 1, Larwig 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sarksian
🪃 Counterpuncher
Larwig
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 685 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniil Sarksian.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 16, 2026
M15 Tsaghkadzor
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sarksian | Larwig | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Sarksian | Noel Larwig | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 3 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 5 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sarksian | Larwig |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.48 | 3.10 |
| ROI % | -28.4% | -47.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.56u | -5.72u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sarksian has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Larwig's 0%).
| Opponent | Sarksian | Larwig |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Rodriguez Figueiredo | W 60 61 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matisse Bobichon
M15 Pontevedra · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Julio Cesar Porras
M15 Pontevedra · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Martin Rodriguez Figueiredo
M15 Pontevedra · 1st Round
Oct 6
Arthur Laborde
M15 Tsaghkadzor · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Noel Larwig
M15 Tsaghkadzor · 1st Round
Sep 16
Dmitry Popko
M15 Tsaghkadzor · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Karol Malirz
M15 Tsaghkadzor · 1st Round
Sep 9
Rigele Te
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 19
Wout Vermeer
M15 Offenbach · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Daniil Sarksian
M15 Tsaghkadzor · 1st Round
Sep 16
Dmitry Dolzhenkov
M15 Tsaghkadzor · 1st Round
Sep 8
Matthias Ujvary
M15 Vienna · 1st Round
Aug 26
Oscar Moraing
M15 Bastad · 1st Round
Aug 20
John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Bastad · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Denis Yevseyev
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Alec Beckley
M15 Bielsko Biala · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–72 matches
| Metric | Sarksian | Larwig |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 31% |
| Sets won | 49% | 34% |
| Games won | 50% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sarksian | Larwig |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sarksian | Larwig |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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