Daniil Sarksian vs Matthew DellavedovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇲Daniil Sarksian
#931 · 20 yrs · U
2 meetings · sets 0–4
🇦🇺Matthew Dellavedova
#283 · 26 yrs · R
5TitleDaniil Sarksian and Matthew Dellavedova have met 2 times since 2026; Matthew Dellavedova leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M15 Maanshan 4 in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Dellavedova leads 2–0. Dellavedova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sarksian has taken 0 sets to Dellavedova's 4. Their most recent meeting: Matthew Dellavedova won at M15 Tianjin (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sarksian | Dellavedova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Sarksian | Matthew Dellavedova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 22/38 | 86% | 78/91 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 5/34 | 33% | 13/39 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 21/72 | 20% | 26/130 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 11/27 | 71% | 58/82 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 31% | 9/29 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 30/31 | 93% | 82/88 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 22/31 | 89% | 78/88 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sarksian 0, Dellavedova 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sarksian
🪃 Counterpuncher
Dellavedova
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matthew Dellavedova.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 12, 2026
M15 Tianjin
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 27, 2026
M15 Maanshan 4
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sarksian | Dellavedova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Sarksian | Matthew Dellavedova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 90% | 35/39 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 51% | 20/39 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 21% | 8/39 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 3% | 1/39 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/39 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/39 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sarksian | Dellavedova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 27–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | -19.5% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.56u | +3.17u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sarksian | Dellavedova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 1,972 mi · 3,173 km |
| Route | — | VIE → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Dellavedova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Sarksian's 40%).
| Opponent | Sarksian | Dellavedova |
|---|---|---|
| Yanki Erel | W 57 76 63 | W |
| Martin Rodriguez Figueiredo | W 60 61 | W 67 63 62 |
| Andre Ilagan | L 16 36 | L 46 36 |
| Enzo Aguiard | L 16 26 | W 63 61 |
| Xing Dao Chen | W | W 61 62 |
| Ye Cong Mo | W | W 62 75 |
| Yuta Kawahashi | L 36 36 | W 62 62 |
| Colin Sinclair | L 57 57 | L 46 67 |
| Michael Zhu | L 26 26 | W 76 62 |
| Filip Peliwo | L 36 16 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matisse Bobichon
M15 Pontevedra · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Julio Cesar Porras
M15 Pontevedra · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Martin Rodriguez Figueiredo
M15 Pontevedra · 1st Round
Oct 6
Arthur Laborde
M15 Tsaghkadzor · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Noel Larwig
M15 Tsaghkadzor · 1st Round
Sep 16
Dmitry Popko
M15 Tsaghkadzor · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Karol Malirz
M15 Tsaghkadzor · 1st Round
Sep 9
Rigele Te
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 19
Mert Alkaya
M25 Luan · Final
Oct 11
Yanki Erel
M25 Luan · Semifinals
Oct 10
Yaojie Zeng
M25 Luan · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Jordan Chiu
M25 Luan · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Zhao Zhao
M25 Luan · 1st Round
Oct 6
Andre Ilagan
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Fajing Sun
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Hunter Heck
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 72–130 matches
| Metric | Sarksian | Dellavedova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 70% |
| Sets won | 49% | 68% |
| Games won | 50% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sarksian | Dellavedova |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sarksian | Dellavedova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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