Daniil Ostapenkov vs Tiago PereiraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Ostapenkov and Tiago Pereira have met 1 time since 2026; Daniil Ostapenkov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ostapenkov has taken 2 sets to Pereira's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Ostapenkov won at M25 Porto (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenkov | Pereira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Ostapenkov | Tiago Pereira | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 36/42 | 72% | 33/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 5/22 | 34% | 14/41 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 17% | 11/64 | 31% | 27/87 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 76% | 25/33 | 54% | 28/52 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 11/21 | 42% | 13/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 10/17 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 39/42 | 80% | 39/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 36/42 | 67% | 33/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenkov 1, Pereira 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenkov
💥 Big Hitter
Pereira
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 25, 2026
M25 Porto
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenkov | Pereira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Ostapenkov | Tiago Pereira | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 90% | 18/20 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 55% | 11/20 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 35% | 7/20 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–3 | 12–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.73 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | +4.6% | -16.6% |
| Units P/L | +0.46u | -3.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 4 |
| Matches | 2 | 8 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | TUR | POL → TUR → POR → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pereira has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Ostapenkov's 33%).
| Opponent | Ostapenkov | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Vadym Ursu | L 16 67 | W 36 63 64 |
| Tiago Torres | L 26 46 | W 63 36 76 |
| Guilherme Valdoleiros | W 64 64 | W 60 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Florent Bax
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Tiago Torres
M25 Figueira da Foz · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Lui Maxted
M25 Figueira da Foz · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rohan Mehra
M25 Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 30
Rohan Mehra
Futures 2026
Jun 30
Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Porto · Quarterfinals
Jun 26
Tiago Pereira
M25 Porto · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Niccolo Catini
M25 Poznan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Tristan McCormick
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Alberto Barroso Campos
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Rodrigo Leal
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 12
Max Basing
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Vadym Ursu
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Oleg Prihodko
M25 Koszalin · Final
Aug 2
Niklas Guttau
M25 Koszalin · Semifinals
Aug 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–87 matches
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 53% |
| Sets won | 64% | 53% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenkov | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenkov | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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