Daniil Ostapenkov vs Lui MaxtedPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Ostapenkov and Lui Maxted have met 1 time since 2026; Daniil Ostapenkov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ostapenkov has taken 2 sets to Maxted's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Ostapenkov won at M25 Figueira da Foz (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenkov | Maxted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Ostapenkov | Lui Maxted | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 36/42 | 73% | 30/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 5/22 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 17% | 11/64 | 30% | 19/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 76% | 25/33 | 53% | 23/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 11/21 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 10/17 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 39/42 | 88% | 38/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 36/42 | 70% | 30/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenkov 1, Maxted 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenkov
💥 Big Hitter
Maxted
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 2, 2026
M25 Figueira da Foz
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenkov | Maxted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Ostapenkov | Lui Maxted | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 55% | 11/20 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 10% | 2/20 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–3 | 13–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| ROI % | +4.6% | -9.6% |
| Units P/L | +0.46u | -2.02u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 10 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | TUR | GBR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maxted has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Ostapenkov's 40%).
| Opponent | Ostapenkov | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Tiago Torres | L 26 46 | L 36 16 |
| Alessandro Coccioli | W 61 60 | W 62 60 |
| Alessandro Coccioli | W 61 60 | W 62 60 |
| Etienne Donnet | L 16 26 | W 64 57 64 |
| Jack Loge | L 46 64 67 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Florent Bax
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Tiago Torres
M25 Figueira da Foz · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Lui Maxted
M25 Figueira da Foz · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rohan Mehra
M25 Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 30
Rohan Mehra
Futures 2026
Jun 30
Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Porto · Quarterfinals
Jun 26
Tiago Pereira
M25 Porto · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Johannus Monday
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Anton Shepp
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 24
Lucas Poullain
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 21
Adrian Boitan
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Patrick Brady
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Matteo Martineau
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Charles Broom
M25 Roehampton · Semifinals
Aug 8
Mark Ceban
M25 Roehampton · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–65 matches
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 65% |
| Sets won | 64% | 62% |
| Games won | 55% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenkov | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenkov | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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