Daniil Ostapenkov vs Ilija PalavestraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Ostapenkov and Ilija Palavestra have met 1 time since 2026; Daniil Ostapenkov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ostapenkov has taken 2 sets to Palavestra's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Ostapenkov won at Columbus Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenkov | Palavestra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Ostapenkov | Ilija Palavestra | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 35/45 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 18% | 4/22 | 23% | 3/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 14/67 | 20% | 4/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 76% | 26/34 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 13/25 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 14/22 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 39/42 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 35/42 | 75% | 6/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenkov 1, Palavestra 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenkov
👑 The Complete Package
Palavestra
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 255 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniil Ostapenkov.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 27, 2026
Columbus Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenkov | Palavestra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Ostapenkov | Ilija Palavestra | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 5 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Palavestra |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.43 | 2.29 |
| ROI % | +16.1% | -46.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.93u | -2.81u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Palavestra |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 1 |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Raphael Perot
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Quinn Vandecasteele
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ilija Palavestra
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Timo Legout
San Diego 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Quinn Vandecasteele
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Timo Legout
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Gus Grumet
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Daniil Ostapenkov
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Joshua Peck
M15 Champaign · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Alejandro Jacome Jaramillo
M15 Champaign · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Vignesh Gogineni
M25 Edwardsville · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Leo Vithoontien
M25 Edwardsville · 1st Round
Jul 29
Malhar Patel
M25 Edwardsville · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 28
Kostiantyn Zviahintsev
M25 Edwardsville · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 26
Alexander Bernard
M15 Rochester · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–68 matches
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Palavestra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 35% |
| Sets won | 63% | 39% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenkov | Palavestra |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenkov | Palavestra |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.