Daniil Ostapenkov vs Gus GrumetPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Ostapenkov and Gus Grumet have met 1 time since 2026; Daniil Ostapenkov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ostapenkov has taken 2 sets to Grumet's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Ostapenkov won at Tiburon Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenkov | Grumet | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Ostapenkov | Gus Grumet | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 35/45 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 18% | 4/22 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 14/67 | 33% | 12/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 76% | 26/34 | 18% | 2/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 13/25 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 14/22 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 39/42 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 35/42 | 65% | 11/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenkov 1, Grumet 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenkov
👑 The Complete Package
Grumet
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 67% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 34 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniil Ostapenkov.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 13, 2026
Tiburon Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Grumet |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.43 | 4.23 |
| ROI % | +16.1% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.93u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Grumet |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Raphael Perot
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Quinn Vandecasteele
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ilija Palavestra
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Timo Legout
San Diego 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Quinn Vandecasteele
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Timo Legout
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Gus Grumet
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Daniil Ostapenkov
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Evan Bynoe
M15 Claremont · 1st Round
Jun 24
William Zhang
Futures 2026
Jun 23
William Zhang
M15 Claremont · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 23
Atharva Sharma
Futures 2026
Jun 22
Adrian Sharma
M15 Claremont · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Aadarsh Tripathi
M15 Irvine · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 16
Aadarsh Tripathi
Futures 2026
Jun 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–68 matches
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Grumet |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 47% |
| Sets won | 63% | 48% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenkov | Grumet |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenkov | Grumet |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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