Daniil Ostapenkov vs Florent BaxPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Ostapenkov and Florent Bax have met 1 time since 2026; Florent Bax leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ostapenkov has taken 1 sets to Bax's 2. Their most recent meeting: Florent Bax won at Istanbul Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenkov | Bax | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Ostapenkov | Florent Bax | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 35/45 | 72% | 38/53 |
| Wins a set when losing | 18% | 4/22 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 14/67 | 40% | 32/81 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 76% | 26/34 | 63% | 29/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 13/25 | 70% | 19/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 14/22 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 39/42 | 90% | 43/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 35/42 | 79% | 38/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenkov 0, Bax 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenkov
👑 The Complete Package
Bax
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Daniil Ostapenkov and Florent Bax are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 782 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
Istanbul Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenkov | Bax | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Ostapenkov | Florent Bax | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 96% | 23/24 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 79% | 19/24 |
| 5 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 50% | 12/24 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 8% | 2/24 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 4% | 1/24 |
| 20 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 4% | 1/24 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Bax |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 13–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.43 | 1.73 |
| ROI % | +16.1% | -22.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.93u | -4.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Bax |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA | VIE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Ostapenkov and Bax posted a 25% win rate.
| Opponent | Ostapenkov | Bax |
|---|---|---|
| Ilia Simakin | L 36 36 | L 06 76 46 |
| Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | W 36 63 76 | W 62 36 63 |
| Tiago Torres | L 26 46 | L 26 62 26 |
| Timofey Skatov | L 76 67 46 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Raphael Perot
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Quinn Vandecasteele
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ilija Palavestra
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Timo Legout
San Diego 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Quinn Vandecasteele
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Timo Legout
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Gus Grumet
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Dev Javia
M25 Kigali · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Claude Ishimwe
M25 Kigali · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Anup Bangargi
M25 Kigali · 1st Round
Oct 7
Calvin Hemery
M25 Kigali · Semifinals
Oct 3
Yshai Oliel
M25 Kigali · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Caheer Warik
M25 Kigali · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Noah Schachter
M25 Kigali · 1st Round
Sep 29
Moise Kouame
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 68–83 matches
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Bax |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 66% |
| Sets won | 63% | 63% |
| Games won | 55% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenkov | Bax |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenkov | Bax |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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