Daniil Ostapenkov vs Florent BaxPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Ostapenkov and Florent Bax have met 1 time since 2026; Florent Bax leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ostapenkov has taken 1 sets to Bax's 2. Their most recent meeting: Florent Bax won at Istanbul Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenkov | Bax | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Ostapenkov | Florent Bax | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 36/42 | 63% | 33/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 5/22 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 17% | 11/64 | 43% | 36/83 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 76% | 25/33 | 57% | 25/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 11/21 | 70% | 21/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 10/17 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 39/42 | 87% | 39/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 36/42 | 73% | 33/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ostapenkov 0, Bax 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenkov
💥 Big Hitter
Bax
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Daniil Ostapenkov and Florent Bax are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
Istanbul Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenkov | Bax | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Ostapenkov | Florent Bax | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Bax |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–3 | 10–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.73 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | +4.6% | -31.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.46u | -5.89u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Bax |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 6,189 mi · 9,961 km |
| Route | TUR | TUR → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Ostapenkov and Bax posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Ostapenkov | Bax |
|---|---|---|
| Ilia Simakin | L 36 36 | L 06 76 46 |
| Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | W 36 63 76 | W 62 36 63 |
| Tiago Torres | L 26 46 | L 26 62 26 |
| Guilherme Valdoleiros | W 64 64 | W 63 64 |
| Timofey Skatov | L 76 67 46 | L 26 46 |
| Etienne Donnet | L 16 26 | L 67 62 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Florent Bax
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Tiago Torres
M25 Figueira da Foz · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Lui Maxted
M25 Figueira da Foz · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rohan Mehra
M25 Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 30
Rohan Mehra
Futures 2026
Jun 30
Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Porto · Quarterfinals
Jun 26
Tiago Pereira
M25 Porto · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Daniil Glinka
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Ilia Simakin
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Daniil Ostapenkov
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Arthur Weber
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Gabriel Debru
Samsun Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Takuya Kumasaka
Samsun Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Paul Inchauspe
Segovia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Dan Added
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–85 matches
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Bax |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 64% |
| Sets won | 64% | 60% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenkov | Bax |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenkov | Bax |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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