Daniil Ostapenkov vs Egor AgafonovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
๐ง๐พDaniil Ostapenkov
#529 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
31 meeting
๐ท๐บEgor Agafonov
#994 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
5Daniil Ostapenkov and Egor Agafonov have met 1 time since 2026; Egor Agafonov leads 1โ0. Their most recent meeting: Egor Agafonov won at Astana Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ostapenkov | Agafonov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Ostapenkov | Egor Agafonov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 35/45 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 18% | 4/22 | 19% | 4/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 14/67 | 24% | 8/34 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 76% | 26/34 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 13/25 | 7% | 1/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 14/22 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 39/42 | 100% | 11/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 35/42 | 82% | 9/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ostapenkov
๐ The Complete Package
Agafonov
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Daniil Ostapenkov and Egor Agafonov are ๐ The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 782 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 9, 2026
Astana Challenger
H Hard ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ostapenkov | Agafonov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Ostapenkov | Egor Agafonov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 5 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Agafonov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ5 | 0โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.43 | 2.36 |
| ROI % | +16.1% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.93u | -6.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Agafonov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 6 | โ |
| Distance | 1,953 mi ยท 3,143 km | โ |
| Route | USA | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Ostapenkov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Agafonov's 0%).
| Opponent | Ostapenkov | Agafonov |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Sarksian | W 62 64 | L 16 64 67 |
| Vadym Ursu | L 16 67 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Columbus Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
Raphael Perot
Columbus Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 29
Quinn Vandecasteele
Columbus Challenger ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ilija Palavestra
Columbus Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Timo Legout
San Diego 2 Challenger ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Quinn Vandecasteele
San Diego 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Timo Legout
Tiburon Challenger ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Gus Grumet
Tiburon Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Maxim Zhukov
Wuning 3 Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Kerem Yilmaz
M15 Baku ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Taiyo Yamanaka
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Radu David Turcanu
Istanbul Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Alec Deckers
Astana Challenger ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Daniil Ostapenkov
Astana Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Martin Borisiouk
M15 Astana ยท 1st Round
Aug 6
Kacper Knitter
M15 Tsaghkadzor ยท 2nd Round
Jun 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 34โ68 matches
| Metric | Ostapenkov | Agafonov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 38% |
| Sets won | 63% | 39% |
| Games won | 55% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ostapenkov | Agafonov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ostapenkov | Agafonov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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