Danielle Dai Chapman vs Ksenia SmirnovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Danielle Dai Chapman and Ksenia Smirnova have met 1 time since 2026; Ksenia Smirnova leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Ksenia Smirnova won at W35 Hillcrest (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dai Chapman | Smirnova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Danielle Dai Chapman | Ksenia Smirnova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 90% | 9/10 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 3/9 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 4/19 | 26% | 8/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 64% | 9/14 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/2 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 10/12 | 90% | 19/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 9/12 | 76% | 16/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Chapman
⚔️ The Gladiator
Smirnova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 7,862 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 9, 2026
W35 Hillcrest
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Chapman | Smirnova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.66 |
| ROI % | - | -56.2% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.81u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Chapman | Smirnova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | FRA → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Smirnova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Chapman's 33%).
| Opponent | Chapman | Smirnova |
|---|---|---|
| Dominika Podhajecka | L 67 46 | W |
| Emma Van Poppel | W 62 62 | W |
| Jenny Duerst | L 26 16 | L 46 26 |
| Irem Kurt | L 36 63 36 | L 75 16 46 |
| Selina Atay | L 63 46 810 | W 76 16 63 |
| Varvara Rubtsova | W 62 61 | W 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Virginia Crocker
W15 Hillcrest · 1st Round
Jul 15
Ksenia Smirnova
W35 Hillcrest · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Farah Heddar
W35 Hillcrest · 1st Round
Jul 8
Farah Heddar
Hillcrest 2 ITF · Round of 32
Jul 8
Jenny Duerst
W15 Hillcrest · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Sasha Natalie Chimedza
W15 Hillcrest · 1st Round
Jul 1
Dominika Podhajecka
W15 Gaborone · Quarterfinals
May 22
Dominika Podhajecka
W15 Gaborone · Quarterfinals
May 22
Yuliya Hatouka
W15 Sharm ElSheikh · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Maddalena Giordano
W15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Nina Rudiukova
W15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 30
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
W35 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Joody Elkady
W35 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 23
Astrid Cirotte
W15 Hillcrest · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Dominika Podhajecka
W15 Hillcrest · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Emma Van Poppel
W15 Hillcrest · 1st Round
Jul 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–32 matches
| Metric | Chapman | Smirnova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 69% |
| Sets won | 55% | 65% |
| Games won | 55% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Chapman | Smirnova |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Chapman | Smirnova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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