Daniele Rapagnetta vs Vadym UrsuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniele Rapagnetta and Vadym Ursu have met 1 time since 2026; Daniele Rapagnetta leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rapagnetta has taken 2 sets to Ursu's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniele Rapagnetta won at Milan challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rapagnetta | Ursu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniele Rapagnetta | Vadym Ursu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 14/22 | 69% | 44/64 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 34% | 11/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 19/47 | 32% | 31/96 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 7/18 | 54% | 21/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 15/24 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 6/11 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 74% | 17/23 | 92% | 58/63 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 70% | 44/63 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rapagnetta 1, Ursu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rapagnetta
⚔️ The Gladiator
Ursu
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 28, 2026
Milan challenger
C Clay
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rapagnetta | Ursu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniele Rapagnetta | Vadym Ursu | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rapagnetta | Ursu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 2–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.52 | 2.63 |
| ROI % | -4.1% | -61.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.66u | -6.18u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rapagnetta | Ursu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ITA | TUR → KAZ → EGY |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rapagnetta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Ursu's 50%).
| Opponent | Rapagnetta | Ursu |
|---|---|---|
| Yanki Erel | L 61 06 46 | L 16 46 |
| Alessandro Coccioli | W 26 61 76 | W 16 62 64 |
| Alessandro Coccioli | W 26 61 76 | W 16 62 64 |
| Leo Borg | W 75 36 63 | L 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Manuel Mazza
M25 Lesa · 2nd Round
Aug 22
Laurent Lokoli
M25 Lesa · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Maxime Janvier
M25 Lesa · 1st Round
Aug 19
Pierluigi Basile
M15 Gubbio · Final
Jul 19
Maximilian Homberg
M15 Gubbio · Quarterfinals
Jul 18
Filippo Mazzola
M15 Gubbio · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Lorenzo Rottoli
M15 Gubbio · 1st Round
Jul 15
Pieter De Lange
M25 The Hague · 1st Round
Jul 8
Dev Javia
M15 Hurghada · 1st Round
Aug 26
Manas Dhamne
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Tiago Pereira
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Kenta Miyoshi
Samsun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Denis Yevseyev
Samsun Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mert Naci Turker
Samsun Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Dominik Palan
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–96 matches
| Metric | Rapagnetta | Ursu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 67% |
| Sets won | 49% | 62% |
| Games won | 50% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rapagnetta | Ursu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rapagnetta | Ursu |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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