Daniele Minighini vs Matteo MesaglioPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M25 Santa Margherita di Pula
- Level
- ITF M25
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 21 · 1:00 AM ET
Book odds
Daniele Minighini and Matteo Mesaglio meet next at the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula on September 21 on clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Minighini | Mesaglio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniele Minighini | Matteo Mesaglio | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 7/10 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/9 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 16% | 3/19 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 2/3 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/4 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 2/4 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 7/7 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 7/7 | 86% | 6/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minighini
⚙️ Grinder
Mesaglio
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The ⚙️ Grinder archetype wins about 54% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 41 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniele Minighini.
Grinder players often use relentless consistency and deep court positioning to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Minighini and Mesaglio have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minighini | Mesaglio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniele Minighini | Matteo Mesaglio | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minighini | Mesaglio |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.70 | 3.78 |
| ROI % | -60.9% | +39.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.26u | +2.73u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minighini | Mesaglio |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ROU → ITA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minighini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Mesaglio's 50%).
| Opponent | Minighini | Mesaglio |
|---|---|---|
| Edoardo Carcangiu | W 61 60 | W 62 62 |
| Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei | W 46 63 108 | L 46 60 310 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Edoardo Carcangiu
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Mak Mikovic
M15 Bologna · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 1
Davide Profili
M15 Bologna · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Robert Guna
M15 Bucharest · 1st Round
Aug 26
Hugo Maurice
M15 Bucharest · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Denis Valentin Dragomir
M15 Bucharest · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Teodor Lefter
M15 Bucharest · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Pawel Juszczak
M15 Krakow · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Vittorio Gillerio
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Aidan McHugh
M25 Pozzuoli · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Davide Ciaschetti
M25 Pozzuoli · 1st Round
Sep 8
Patric Prinoth
M25 Pozzuoli · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Massimo Junior Del Carmine
M25 Pozzuoli · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Davide Ciaschetti
M15 Bologna · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
George Lazarov
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–19 matches
| Metric | Minighini | Mesaglio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 50% |
| Sets won | 49% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |