Daniel Uta vs Keaton HancePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Uta and Keaton Hance have met 1 time since 2026; Keaton Hance leads 1–0. Across all meetings Uta has taken 1 sets to Hance's 2. Their most recent meeting: Keaton Hance won at M15 Orlando (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Uta | Hance | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Uta | Keaton Hance | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 46% | 6/13 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 14% | 2/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 15/30 | 16% | 5/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 2/6 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 10/17 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 13% | 1/8 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 7/10 | 100% | 18/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 83% | 15/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Uta 0, Hance 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Uta
🧱 The Wall
Hance
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 54% vs 🧱 The Wall across 753 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Keaton Hance.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 25, 2026
M15 Orlando
C Clay · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Uta | Hance |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 3.07 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -26.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -0.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Uta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Hance's 50%).
| Opponent | Uta | Hance |
|---|---|---|
| Kaya Arinc | W 46 61 63 | W 62 75 |
| Tommaso Compagnucci | W 36 75 63 | L 26 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
S D Prajwal Dev
Iasi challenger
Jul 5
Rares Teodor Pieleanu
M15 Bucharest · Quarterfinals
May 22
Nicholas David Ionel
M15 Bucharest · Round of 16
May 21
Lorenzo Lorusso
M15 Bucharest · 1st Round
May 19
Dragos Nicolae Cazacu
Moldova Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 2
Keaton Hance
M15 Orlando · Semifinals
Apr 25
Gus Grumet
M15 Orlando · Quarterfinals
Apr 24
Hunter Heck
M15 Orlando · 2nd Round
Apr 23
Johannus Monday
M25 Edwardsville · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Naoya Honda
M25 Edwardsville · 1st Round
Jul 29
William Jansen
M25 Champaign · 1st Round
Jul 22
Jack Kennedy
M25 Mataro · Quarterfinals
May 22
Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Mataro · 1st Round
May 20
Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Vic · 1st Round
May 13
Nick Hardt
M15 Orange Park · Semifinals
May 2
Matthew Segura
M15 Orange Park · Quarterfinals
May 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–32 matches
| Metric | Uta | Hance |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 56% |
| Sets won | 45% | 55% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Uta | Hance |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Uta | Hance |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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