Daniel Siniakov vs Jakub VrbaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- San Gregorio di Catania Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 12 · 4:10 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.47 or shorter, Daniel Siniakov has won 16 of 19 (84%). The price implied 73%, so Daniel Siniakov has beaten it by 11 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Daniel Siniakov meets Jakub Vrba in the 3rd Round Qualifying of the San Gregorio di Catania Challenger on clay on October 12. Siniakov, ranked 519, has won one of his last five matches. Vrba, ranked 1111, has won four of his past five.
The two have not faced before. Both players have competed recently against common opponents with mixed results; Vrba defeated Rudolf Molleker and Ryan Colby while Siniakov fell to each, though Siniakov beat Kangyuan Shi in a match Vrba also won. Over a larger clay sample, Vrba has posted a 10-7 record at 58% while Siniakov sits at 9-11 at 45%.
Siniakov operates as a counterpuncher, relying on reaction and angles from the baseline. Vrba plays as a big hitter who generates pace from the ground. The clay surface typically slows the ball and rewards patience, asking Siniakov to be sharp in transition and Vrba to sustain his power through longer rallies.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Siniakov | Vrba | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Siniakov | Jakub Vrba | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 52% | 11/21 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/59 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 24/41 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 10/15 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 9/19 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 31/38 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 67% | 4/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Siniakov
🪃 Counterpuncher
Vrba
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Siniakov and Vrba have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Siniakov | Vrba | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Siniakov | Jakub Vrba | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Siniakov | Vrba |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 7–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 2.69 |
| ROI % | -34.2% | +59.5% |
| Units P/L | -5.46u | +6.54u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Siniakov | Vrba |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Vrba has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Siniakov's 33%).
| Opponent | Siniakov | Vrba |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Colby | L 46 60 57 | W 46 76 75 |
| Unknown Player | W 36 64 60 | W 62 61 |
| Rudolf Molleker | L 67 06 | W 46 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Paolo Gabriele Marino
San Gregorio di Catania Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Yanaki Milev
Palermo Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Daniele Rapagnetta
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Vitaliy Sachko
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Oleg Prihodko
Tulln Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Niels Visker
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Georgii Kravchenko
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Kai Wehnelt
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Dragos Nicolae Madaras
San Gregorio di Catania Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Dragos Nicolae Cazacu
M15 Fayetteville · 1st Round
Sep 29
Spencer Johnson
San Diego 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Blaise Bicknell
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Bryce Nakashima
M15 Champaign · Final
Aug 30
Oliver Okonkwo
M15 Champaign · Semifinals
Aug 29
Ofek Shimanov
M15 Champaign · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Ryan Colby
M15 Champaign · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 17–59 matches
| Metric | Siniakov | Vrba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 59% |
| Sets won | 63% | 52% |
| Games won | 56% | 48% |