Daniel Siniakov vs Daniele RapagnettaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Palermo Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 4 · 5:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.72 or shorter, Daniel Siniakov has won 11 of 17 (65%). The price implied 59%, so Daniel Siniakov has beaten it by 6 points.
At 2.00 or longer, Daniele Rapagnetta has won 5 of 18 (28%). The price implied 37%, so Daniele Rapagnetta has fallen 9 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Daniele Rapagnetta and Daniel Siniakov meet in first round qualifying at the Palermo Challenger on clay on October 4. Rapagnetta, ranked 665th, has played seven matches in fourteen days and comes in fresh off a loss. Siniakov, ranked 511th, has not played in twenty-six days.
The two have never faced each other. Rapagnetta has won eight of his last ten matches overall, though he fell in his most recent outing. Siniakov has won three of his last ten; both players lost to Carlo Alberto Caniato in separate contests.
Rapagnetta has built a 70% win rate on clay in his recent sample, relying on aggressive baseline play and steady pressure. Siniakov operates as a counterpuncher, seeking openings through court position and timing rather than pace. At 50% on clay over the same span, Siniakov will need to establish rhythm quickly after his layoff, while Rapagnetta must maintain consistency after his compressed schedule.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Siniakov | Rapagnetta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Siniakov | Daniele Rapagnetta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 28/37 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 10/21 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/58 | 38% | 19/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 24/40 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 9/19 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 31/37 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 28/37 | 69% | 18/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Siniakov
🪃 Counterpuncher
Rapagnetta
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 2,586 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Siniakov and Rapagnetta have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Siniakov | Rapagnetta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Siniakov | Daniele Rapagnetta | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 47% | 9/19 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 26% | 5/19 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Siniakov | Rapagnetta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.53 | 1.73 |
| ROI % | -34.2% | +1.4% |
| Units P/L | -5.82u | +0.28u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Siniakov | Rapagnetta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | AUT | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Siniakov and Rapagnetta posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Siniakov | Rapagnetta |
|---|---|---|
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | L 67 46 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Vitaliy Sachko
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Oleg Prihodko
Tulln Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Niels Visker
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Georgii Kravchenko
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Kai Wehnelt
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Oleksii Krutykh
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Tim Handel
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Liberec Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Noah Lopez
M15 Sibenik · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Michael Savano
M15 Sibenik · 1st Round
Sep 29
Matteo Sciahbasi
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Laurent Lokoli
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Semifinals
Sep 25
Garrett Johns
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Niccolo Catini
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 22
Pietro Marino
M15 Melilla · Final
Sep 20
Carles Cordoba
M15 Melilla · Semifinals
Sep 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–58 matches
| Metric | Siniakov | Rapagnetta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 53% |
| Sets won | 62% | 53% |
| Games won | 56% | 51% |