Daniel Milavsky vs Quinn VandecasteelePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Milavsky and Quinn Vandecasteele have met 3 times since 2026; Daniel Milavsky leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at M25 Winston-Salem 2 in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Milavsky has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Milavsky has taken 4 sets to Vandecasteele's 4. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Milavsky won at Vancouver Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Milavsky | Vandecasteele | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Milavsky | Quinn Vandecasteele | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 38/49 | 79% | 33/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 52% | 15/29 | 41% | 14/34 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 26/78 | 30% | 23/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 30/51 | 53% | 23/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 15/23 | 67% | 18/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 12/23 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 45/54 | 82% | 36/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 38/54 | 75% | 33/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Milavsky 0, Vandecasteele 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Milavsky
👑 The Complete Package
Vandecasteele
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Quinn Vandecasteele.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 28, 2026
Vancouver Challenger
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 7, 2026
Newport Challenger
G Grass · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jan 13, 2026
M25 Winston-Salem 2
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Milavsky | Vandecasteele | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Milavsky | Quinn Vandecasteele | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Milavsky | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | +14.6% | -14.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.48u | -2.26u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Milavsky | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Vandecasteele has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Milavsky's 50%).
| Opponent | Milavsky | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Kaichi Uchida | W 64 63 | W 63 64 |
| Masamichi Imamura | W 64 67 61 | L 36 36 |
| Charles Broom | L 62 46 26 | L 36 16 |
| Murphy Cassone | L 46 16 | W 76 63 |
| Joshua Sheehy | L 67 76 67 | W 63 64 |
| Bor Artnak | L 64 36 36 | W 61 16 63 |
| Samuel Battistone | W 60 62 | W 63 64 |
| Gavin Young | L 63 67 67 | L 76 36 36 |
| Keegan Smith | W 63 75 | W 76 64 |
| Alan Magadan | W 76 61 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Darwin Blanch
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Blaise Bicknell
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Timo Legout
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Federico Agustin Gomez
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Shintaro Mochizuki
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Lloyd Harris
Brownsburg Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Rei Sakamoto
Brownsburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Edas Butvilas
Brownsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Daniil Ostapenkov
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Preston Stearns
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Daniil Ostapenkov
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Bryce Nakashima
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Noah Zamora
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Li Tu
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 76–78 matches
| Metric | Milavsky | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 55% |
| Sets won | 62% | 56% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Milavsky | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Milavsky | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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