Daniel Michalski vs Marvin MoellerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Michalski and Marvin Moeller have met 1 time since 2026; Marvin Moeller leads 1–0. Across all meetings Michalski has taken 0 sets to Moeller's 2. Their most recent meeting: Marvin Moeller won at Szczecin Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michalski | Moeller | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Michalski | Marvin Moeller | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 31/41 | 67% | 37/55 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 19/66 | 33% | 27/83 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 27/41 | 48% | 23/48 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 37/41 | 89% | 47/53 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 31/41 | 70% | 37/53 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michalski 0, Moeller 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michalski
⚔️ The Gladiator
Moeller
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marvin Moeller.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 15, 2026
Szczecin Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michalski | Moeller | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Michalski | Marvin Moeller | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 22/26 | 90% | 18/20 |
| 3 or more | 23% | 6/26 | 50% | 10/20 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 10% | 2/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michalski | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 22–5 | 13–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -5.7% | +12.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.53u | +2.54u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michalski | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 673 mi · 1,083 km |
| Route | POL | POL → ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Moeller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Michalski's 67%).
| Opponent | Michalski | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Oradini | W 62 63 | W 46 64 62 |
| Ryan Nijboer | W 75 36 62 | W 63 63 |
| Marco Cecchinato | L 36 26 | L 67 76 26 |
| Tom Zeuch | W 61 61 | W 62 67 75 |
| Calvin Hemery | L 67 62 36 | W 76 76 |
| Marat Sharipov | W 63 64 | W 62 36 76 |
| Phil Dungs | W 61 64 | W 62 63 |
| Frederico Ferreira Silva | L 46 26 | W |
| Tomas Curras Abasolo | W 36 64 64 | L 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Weis
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Final
Oct 11
Ivan Ivanov
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Semifinals
Oct 10
Giovanni Oradini
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Alessandro Bellifemine
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Lorenzo Bocchi
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Laurent Lokoli
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Final
Sep 26
Eric Vanshelboim
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Semifinals
Sep 25
Lorenzo Carboni
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ryan Nijboer
Braga Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Tiago Torres
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Luka Mikrut
Genoa 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Dali Blanch
Genoa 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Federico Arnaboldi
Genoa 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Stefano Travaglia
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Marco Cecchinato
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–83 matches
| Metric | Michalski | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 66% |
| Sets won | 60% | 62% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michalski | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michalski | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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