Daniel Michalski vs Lorenzo BocchiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M25 Santa Margherita di Pula
- Level
- ITF M25
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 7 · 3:05 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 1.08 or shorter, Daniel Michalski has won 20 of 20 (100%). The price implied 91%, so Daniel Michalski has beaten it by 9 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Lorenzo Bocchi meets Daniel Michalski in the first round of the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula on October 7, 2026. The match takes place on clay, where Michalski holds the higher ranking at 256 in the world, compared to Bocchi at 617.
The two have never played. Bocchi has lost to both Lorenzo Berto and Tom Zeuch in recent outings, while Daniel Michalski defeated both men. Michalski is riding a five-match winning streak and has won nine of his last ten matches. Bocchi has won two of his last ten and carries a two-match losing streak into the encounter, having not played in seventeen days.
Bocchi operates as a counterpuncher who reads the court well but has converted only 55% of his clay-court matches in his recent sample. Michalski thrives on clay with an 85% win rate there and plays an aggressive, relentless style that demands constant movement and precision from opponents. The match asks whether Bocchi can sustain pressure from Michalski's pace and convert the few openings his counterattacking game creates.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michalski | Bocchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Michalski | Lorenzo Bocchi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 32/42 | 84% | 36/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 8/25 | 27% | 7/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 18/67 | 20% | 14/69 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 27/41 | 68% | 25/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 37/40 | 91% | 39/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 32/40 | 84% | 36/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michalski
⚔️ The Gladiator
Bocchi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,628 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Bocchi.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Michalski and Bocchi have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michalski | Bocchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Michalski | Lorenzo Bocchi | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 20/22 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 27% | 6/22 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michalski | Bocchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–6 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | -13.3% | -37.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.18u | -4.10u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michalski | Bocchi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POL | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michalski has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Bocchi's 20%).
| Opponent | Michalski | Bocchi |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Berto | W 61 64 | L 61 06 36 |
| Phil Dungs | W 61 64 | W 75 64 |
| Michael Agwi | W | L 16 26 |
| Tom Zeuch | W 61 61 | L 64 36 16 |
| Andrej Martin | L 36 63 67 | L 46 62 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Laurent Lokoli
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Final
Sep 26
Eric Vanshelboim
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Semifinals
Sep 25
Lorenzo Carboni
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Giacomo Crisostomo
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Lorenzo Beraldo
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 22
Marvin Moeller
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Michael Savano
M25 Poznan · Final
Aug 30
Nikita Mashtakov
M25 Poznan · Semifinals
Aug 29
Lorenzo Berto
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Lorenzo Berto
M15 Bologna · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Aljaz Jeran
M15 Bologna · 1st Round
Sep 2
John Sperle
M15 Pecs · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Jeremy Gschwendtner
M15 Pecs · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Unknown Player
M15 Pecs · 1st Round
Aug 26
Unknown Player
M15 Pecs · 1st Round
Aug 26
Alex Marti Pujolras
Sion Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 67–69 matches
| Metric | Michalski | Bocchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 62% |
| Sets won | 61% | 61% |
| Games won | 55% | 56% |