Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam DraxlPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Merida Aguilar and Liam Draxl have met 1 time since 2026; Daniel Merida Aguilar leads 1–0. Across all meetings Aguilar has taken 2 sets to Draxl's 1. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Merida Aguilar won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Merida Aguilar | Draxl | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Merida Aguilar | Liam Draxl | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 7/11 | 56% | 23/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 1/3 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 5/14 | 40% | 27/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 4/8 | 46% | 19/41 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 9/10 | 84% | 32/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 7/10 | 61% | 23/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Merida Aguilar 0, Draxl 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Aguilar
⚔️ The Gladiator
Draxl
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Liam Draxl.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Aguilar | Draxl | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Merida Aguilar | Liam Draxl | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 3 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 5 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 25% | 4/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Aguilar | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–3 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.30 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | +47.3% | +6.8% |
| Units P/L | +4.73u | +1.15u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Aguilar | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 6,592 mi · 10,609 km |
| Route | — | USA → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Aguilar has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Draxl's 0%).
| Opponent | Aguilar | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Damir Dzumhur | W 62 57 62 | L 57 06 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Zizou Bergs
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marin Cilic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Ugo Humbert
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Liam Draxl
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
You Du
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Hugo Gaston
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Henry Searle
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Jack Kennedy
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Arthur Rinderknech
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Tristan Schoolkate
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andrew Johnson
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–68 matches
| Metric | Aguilar | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 79% | 60% |
| Sets won | 70% | 55% |
| Games won | 59% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Aguilar | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Aguilar | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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