Daniel Bagnolini vs Timofey StepanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Bagnolini and Timofey Stepanov have met 1 time since 2026; Timofey Stepanov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Bagnolini has taken 0 sets to Stepanov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Timofey Stepanov won at M15 Monastir (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bagnolini | Stepanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Bagnolini | Timofey Stepanov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 33% | 1/3 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 3/11 | 0% | 0/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 5/14 | 8% | 1/12 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 1/1 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 0% | 0/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 3/5 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 20% | 1/5 | 100% | 6/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bagnolini 0, Stepanov 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bagnolini
🛡️ The Spoiler
Stepanov
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
Both Daniel Bagnolini and Timofey Stepanov are 🛡️ The Spoiler types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 46 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 8, 2026
M15 Monastir
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bagnolini | Stepanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Bagnolini | Timofey Stepanov | ||
| 1 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bagnolini | Stepanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.09 | 2.35 |
| ROI % | -77.5% | -35.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.87u | -2.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bagnolini | Stepanov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | FRA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maxime Chazal
M15 Cap d'Agde · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Elias Julian Werner
M15 Cap d'Agde · 1st Round
Aug 25
Keisuke Saitoh
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alaa Trifi
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jul 15
Timofey Stepanov
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jul 8
Jacopo Bilardo
M15 Messina · 1st Round
Jun 8
Tommaso Compagnucci
CAME CUP 2026 CITTA' DI CERVIA · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 18
Sebastian Sorger
CAME CUP 2026 CITTA' DI CERVIA · 1st Round Qualifying
May 17
Aziz Dougaz
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Daniel Bagnolini
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jul 8
Yash Chaurasia
Futures 2026
Jul 7
Youssef Labbene
Futures 2026
Jul 6
Liam Branger
M25 Ajaccio · 1st Round
Jul 1
Valentin Faure
Futures 2026
Jun 29
Andrew Johnson
M15 Los Angeles · 1st Round
Jun 10
Nav Dayal
Futures 2026
Jun 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–15 matches
| Metric | Bagnolini | Stepanov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 20% | 58% |
| Sets won | 26% | 56% |
| Games won | 40% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bagnolini | Stepanov |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bagnolini | Stepanov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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