Daniel Bagnolini vs Sebastian SorgerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Bagnolini and Sebastian Sorger have met 1 time since 2026; Daniel Bagnolini leads 1–0. Across all meetings Bagnolini has taken 2 sets to Sorger's 1. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Bagnolini won at CAME CUP 2026 CITTA' DI CERVIA (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bagnolini | Sorger | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Bagnolini | Sebastian Sorger | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 33% | 1/3 | 86% | 44/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 3/11 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 5/14 | 18% | 14/78 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 1/1 | 67% | 26/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 3/5 | 92% | 47/51 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 20% | 1/5 | 86% | 44/51 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bagnolini 0, Sorger 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bagnolini
🛡️ The Spoiler
Sorger
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 54% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 288 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sebastian Sorger.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 17, 2026
CAME CUP 2026 CITTA' DI CERVIA
? - · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bagnolini | Sorger | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Bagnolini | Sebastian Sorger | ||
| 1 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 84% | 21/25 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 24% | 6/25 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 8% | 2/25 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/25 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bagnolini | Sorger |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 18–7 |
| Avg odds | 3.09 | 1.59 |
| ROI % | -77.5% | -1.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.87u | -0.24u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bagnolini | Sorger |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 4 |
| Matches | 2 | 12 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | FRA | ITA → BUL → SLO |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sorger has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Bagnolini's 0%).
| Opponent | Bagnolini | Sorger |
|---|---|---|
| Petr Nesterov | L 06 76 36 | L 46 67 |
| Tommaso Compagnucci | L 46 06 | L 26 67 |
| Iannis Miletich | L 26 00 | W 67 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maxime Chazal
M15 Cap d'Agde · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Elias Julian Werner
M15 Cap d'Agde · 1st Round
Aug 25
Keisuke Saitoh
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alaa Trifi
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jul 15
Timofey Stepanov
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jul 8
Jacopo Bilardo
M15 Messina · 1st Round
Jun 8
Tommaso Compagnucci
CAME CUP 2026 CITTA' DI CERVIA · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 18
Sebastian Sorger
CAME CUP 2026 CITTA' DI CERVIA · 1st Round Qualifying
May 17
Samuele Pieri
M25 Maribor · Semifinals
Aug 29
Giuseppe La Vela
M25 Maribor · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Miha Vetrih
M25 Maribor · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Jan Kupcic
M25 Maribor · 1st Round
Aug 26
Jonas Gundacker
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Final
Aug 23
Sebastian Dominko
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Semifinals
Aug 22
Luca Castagnola
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Karlo Kajin
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–78 matches
| Metric | Bagnolini | Sorger |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 20% | 65% |
| Sets won | 26% | 64% |
| Games won | 40% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bagnolini | Sorger |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bagnolini | Sorger |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 |
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