Daniel Bagnolini vs Petr NesterovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Bagnolini and Petr Nesterov have met 1 time since 2026; Petr Nesterov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Bagnolini has taken 1 sets to Nesterov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Petr Nesterov won at Internazionali Di Tennis - Citta'Di Vicenza (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bagnolini | Nesterov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Bagnolini | Petr Nesterov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 33% | 1/3 | 65% | 41/63 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 3/11 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 5/14 | 34% | 30/87 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 1/1 | 48% | 28/58 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 3/5 | 94% | 51/54 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 20% | 1/5 | 76% | 41/54 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bagnolini 0, Nesterov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bagnolini
🛡️ The Spoiler
Nesterov
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 54% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 288 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Petr Nesterov.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 2, 2026
Internazionali Di Tennis - Citta'Di Vicenza
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bagnolini | Nesterov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Bagnolini | Petr Nesterov | ||
| 1 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 81% | 17/21 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 52% | 11/21 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 14% | 3/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bagnolini | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 17–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.09 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -77.5% | +15.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.87u | +3.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bagnolini | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 8 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | FRA | DEN → BUL → SUI |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nesterov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Bagnolini's 14%).
| Opponent | Bagnolini | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Sorger | W 63 57 62 | W 64 76 |
| Keisuke Saitoh | L 26 26 | L 46 64 67 |
| Alaa Trifi | L 64 57 57 | W 60 64 |
| Tommaso Compagnucci | L 46 06 | W 63 76 |
| Kasra Rahmani | L 60 36 16 | W 63 26 62 |
| Christian Djonov | L 26 26 | W 64 62 |
| Christian Djonov | L 26 26 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maxime Chazal
M15 Cap d'Agde · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Elias Julian Werner
M15 Cap d'Agde · 1st Round
Aug 25
Keisuke Saitoh
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alaa Trifi
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jul 15
Timofey Stepanov
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jul 8
Jacopo Bilardo
M15 Messina · 1st Round
Jun 8
Tommaso Compagnucci
CAME CUP 2026 CITTA' DI CERVIA · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 18
Sebastian Sorger
CAME CUP 2026 CITTA' DI CERVIA · 1st Round Qualifying
May 17
Dimitris Sakellaridis
M25 Muttenz · 1st Round
Aug 12
Gabriele Piraino
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · Final
Aug 9
Radu Mihai Papoe
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Adrian Andreev
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Sebastian Sorger
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Lorenzo Angelini
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Gentofte · Final
Aug 2
Eero Vasa
M25 Gentofte · Semifinals
Aug 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–87 matches
| Metric | Bagnolini | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 20% | 72% |
| Sets won | 26% | 66% |
| Games won | 40% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bagnolini | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bagnolini | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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