Daniel Bagnolini vs Maxime ChazalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Bagnolini and Maxime Chazal have met 1 time since 2026; Maxime Chazal leads 1–0. Across all meetings Bagnolini has taken 0 sets to Chazal's 2. Their most recent meeting: Maxime Chazal won at M15 Cap d'Agde (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bagnolini | Chazal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Bagnolini | Maxime Chazal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 5/7 | 80% | 39/49 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 5/16 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 7/23 | 28% | 22/78 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 2/4 | 66% | 33/50 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 3/3 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 7/10 | 92% | 44/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 5/10 | 81% | 39/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bagnolini 0, Chazal 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bagnolini
🛡️ The Spoiler
Chazal
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🛡️ The Spoiler vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 115 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 27, 2026
M15 Cap d'Agde
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bagnolini | Chazal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Bagnolini | Maxime Chazal | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 88% | 22/25 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 1/4 | 44% | 11/25 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 1/4 | 12% | 3/25 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/25 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bagnolini | Chazal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 14–10 |
| Avg odds | 4.28 | 1.80 |
| ROI % | -71.8% | -20.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.87u | -4.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bagnolini | Chazal |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 862 mi · 1,388 km |
| Route | — | ITA → BUL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Chazal has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Bagnolini's 0%).
| Opponent | Bagnolini | Chazal |
|---|---|---|
| Tommaso Filippi | L | W 63 63 |
| Christian Djonov | L 26 26 | W 26 76 63 |
| Alaa Trifi | L 64 57 57 | W 62 64 |
| Giovanni Oradini | L 16 46 | W 67 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tommaso Filippi
M15 Bologna · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Maxime Chazal
M15 Cap d'Agde · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Elias Julian Werner
M15 Cap d'Agde · 1st Round
Aug 25
Gregorio Biondolillo
M25 Lesa · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Leonardo Condo
M25 Lesa · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Keisuke Saitoh
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alaa Trifi
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jul 15
Timofey Stepanov
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jul 8
Yanaki Milev
San Gregorio di Catania Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Mathys Picard
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Oct 6
Kris Van Wyk
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Viktor Frydrych
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 30
Jonas Forejtek
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Joel Schwaerzler
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Alex Barrena
Biella Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Titouan Droguet
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 24–78 matches
| Metric | Bagnolini | Chazal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 29% | 63% |
| Sets won | 35% | 62% |
| Games won | 42% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bagnolini | Chazal |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bagnolini | Chazal |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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