Daniel Bagnolini vs Keisuke SaitohPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Bagnolini and Keisuke Saitoh have met 1 time since 2026; Keisuke Saitoh leads 1–0. Across all meetings Bagnolini has taken 0 sets to Saitoh's 2. Their most recent meeting: Keisuke Saitoh won at M15 Bali (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bagnolini | Saitoh | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Bagnolini | Keisuke Saitoh | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 5/7 | 69% | 36/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 5/16 | 13% | 3/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 7/23 | 25% | 19/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 2/4 | 59% | 22/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 62% | 18/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 3/3 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 7/10 | 98% | 42/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 5/10 | 84% | 36/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bagnolini 0, Saitoh 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bagnolini
🛡️ The Spoiler
Saitoh
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 60% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 48 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Keisuke Saitoh.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 28, 2026
M15 Bali
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bagnolini | Saitoh | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Bagnolini | Keisuke Saitoh | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 75% | 18/24 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 1/4 | 33% | 8/24 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 1/4 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/24 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bagnolini | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 16–7 |
| Avg odds | 4.28 | 2.29 |
| ROI % | -71.8% | +18.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.87u | +4.18u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bagnolini | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Saitoh has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Bagnolini's 0%).
| Opponent | Bagnolini | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Tommaso Filippi | L | W 61 64 |
| Petr Nesterov | L 06 76 36 | W 64 46 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tommaso Filippi
M15 Bologna · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Maxime Chazal
M15 Cap d'Agde · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Elias Julian Werner
M15 Cap d'Agde · 1st Round
Aug 25
Gregorio Biondolillo
M25 Lesa · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Leonardo Condo
M25 Lesa · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Keisuke Saitoh
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alaa Trifi
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jul 15
Timofey Stepanov
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jul 8
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Wuning 3 Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Akira Santillan
Wuning 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Hiroki Moriya
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Dominik Palan
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Yusuke Takahashi
Wuning 3 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Zhicheng Wang
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Koki Matsuda
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 24–76 matches
| Metric | Bagnolini | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 29% | 68% |
| Sets won | 35% | 63% |
| Games won | 42% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bagnolini | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bagnolini | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.