Daniel Bagnolini vs Keisuke SaitohPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Bagnolini and Keisuke Saitoh have met 1 time since 2026; Keisuke Saitoh leads 1–0. Across all meetings Bagnolini has taken 0 sets to Saitoh's 2. Their most recent meeting: Keisuke Saitoh won at M15 Bali (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bagnolini | Saitoh | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Bagnolini | Keisuke Saitoh | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 33% | 1/3 | 68% | 27/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 3/11 | 13% | 3/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 5/14 | 25% | 16/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 1/1 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 59% | 16/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 3/5 | 97% | 34/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 20% | 1/5 | 77% | 27/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bagnolini 0, Saitoh 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bagnolini
🛡️ The Spoiler
Saitoh
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 407 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Keisuke Saitoh.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 28, 2026
M15 Bali
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bagnolini | Saitoh | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Bagnolini | Keisuke Saitoh | ||
| 1 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bagnolini | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.09 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | -77.5% | -24.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.87u | -1.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bagnolini | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | FRA | INA → TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Saitoh has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Bagnolini's 0%).
| Opponent | Bagnolini | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Petr Nesterov | L 06 76 36 | W 64 46 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maxime Chazal
M15 Cap d'Agde · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Elias Julian Werner
M15 Cap d'Agde · 1st Round
Aug 25
Keisuke Saitoh
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alaa Trifi
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jul 15
Timofey Stepanov
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jul 8
Jacopo Bilardo
M15 Messina · 1st Round
Jun 8
Tommaso Compagnucci
CAME CUP 2026 CITTA' DI CERVIA · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 18
Sebastian Sorger
CAME CUP 2026 CITTA' DI CERVIA · 1st Round Qualifying
May 17
Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Tsung-Hao Huang
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 18
Sam Ryan Ziegann
M15 Bali · Semifinals
Aug 1
Sanhui Shin
M15 Bali · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rafalentino Ali Da Costa
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rafalentino Ali Da Costa
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Daniel Bagnolini
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Chang
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–64 matches
| Metric | Bagnolini | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 20% | 63% |
| Sets won | 26% | 58% |
| Games won | 40% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bagnolini | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bagnolini | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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