Daniel Bagnolini vs Filippo MazzolaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Bagnolini and Filippo Mazzola have met 3 times since 2025; Filippo Mazzola leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at M15 Forli 1 in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Mazzola leads 2–0. Mazzola has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Bagnolini has taken 2 sets to Mazzola's 6. Their most recent meeting: Filippo Mazzola won at M25 Reggio Emilia (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bagnolini | Mazzola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Bagnolini | Filippo Mazzola | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 5/7 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 5/16 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 7/23 | 24% | 12/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 2/4 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 3/3 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 7/10 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 5/10 | 71% | 25/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bagnolini 0, Mazzola 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bagnolini
🛡️ The Spoiler
Mazzola
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🛡️ The Spoiler vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 114 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 11, 2026
M25 Reggio Emilia
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 8, 2026
M15 Sharm ElSheikh 3
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26, 2025
M15 Forli 1
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bagnolini | Mazzola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Bagnolini | Filippo Mazzola | ||
| 1 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bagnolini | Mazzola |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–6 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.59 | 2.81 |
| ROI % | -83.9% | +11.7% |
| Units P/L | -5.87u | +1.05u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bagnolini | Mazzola |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ITA → FRA | ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mazzola has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Bagnolini's 0%).
| Opponent | Bagnolini | Mazzola |
|---|---|---|
| Tommaso Filippi | L | W 62 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tommaso Filippi
M15 Bologna · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Maxime Chazal
M15 Cap d'Agde · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Elias Julian Werner
M15 Cap d'Agde · 1st Round
Aug 25
Gregorio Biondolillo
M25 Lesa · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Leonardo Condo
M25 Lesa · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Keisuke Saitoh
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alaa Trifi
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jul 15
Timofey Stepanov
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Jul 8
Gabriele Bosio
M15 Bologna · 1st Round
Sep 1
Daniele Rapagnetta
M15 Gubbio · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Leonardo Primucci
M15 Gubbio · 1st Round
Jul 14
Ilya Snitari
M15 Bucharest · Semifinals
Jul 11
Matei Florin Breazu
Futures 2026
Jul 10
Matei Florin Breazu
M15 Bucharest · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Freddy Murray
Futures 2026
Jul 9
Freddy Murray
M15 Bucharest · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 24–51 matches
| Metric | Bagnolini | Mazzola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 29% | 59% |
| Sets won | 35% | 59% |
| Games won | 42% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bagnolini | Mazzola |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M15 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bagnolini | Mazzola |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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