Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei vs Matteo MesaglioPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei and Matteo Mesaglio have met 1 time since 2026; Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei leads 1–0. Across all meetings Amarandei has taken 2 sets to Mesaglio's 1. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei won at M25 Santa Margherita di Pula (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Aleksandar Amarandei | Mesaglio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei | Matteo Mesaglio | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 7/12 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 14/37 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 1/4 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 4/11 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 56% | 9/16 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 7/16 | 86% | 6/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Aleksandar Amarandei 0, Mesaglio 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Amarandei
🛡️ The Spoiler
Mesaglio
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🛡️ The Spoiler vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 115 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 13, 2026
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Amarandei | Mesaglio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei | Matteo Mesaglio | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 3/5 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Amarandei | Mesaglio |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–5 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 3.19 | 3.05 |
| ROI % | -74.5% | -47.6% |
| Units P/L | -4.47u | -2.38u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Amarandei and Mesaglio posted a 25% win rate.
| Opponent | Amarandei | Mesaglio |
|---|---|---|
| Daniele Minighini | L 64 36 810 | L 67 36 |
| Nikodije Trivunac | L 62 67 310 | W 62 62 |
| Aidan McHugh | L 16 63 36 | L 36 26 |
| George Lazarov | W 75 63 | L 67 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Gabriele Pennaforti
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Giammarco Gandolfi
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Maximilian Figl
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Nikodije Trivunac
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Sebastiano Cocola
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Matteo Mesaglio
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Aidan McHugh
M25 Pozzuoli · 1st Round
Sep 8
Manuel Plunger
M15 Vienna · 1st Round
Aug 25
Daniele Minighini
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Vittorio Gillerio
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Aidan McHugh
M25 Pozzuoli · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Davide Ciaschetti
M25 Pozzuoli · 1st Round
Sep 8
Patric Prinoth
M25 Pozzuoli · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Massimo Junior Del Carmine
M25 Pozzuoli · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Davide Ciaschetti
M15 Bologna · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–37 matches
| Metric | Amarandei | Mesaglio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 32% | 40% |
| Sets won | 38% | 48% |
| Games won | 46% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Amarandei | Mesaglio |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Amarandei | Mesaglio |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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