Dan Martin vs Keegan RicePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dan Martin and Keegan Rice have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Drummondville Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Martin has taken 2 sets to Rice's 3. Their most recent meeting: Keegan Rice won at M25 Laval (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Martin | Rice | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dan Martin | Keegan Rice | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 15/19 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 16/35 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 20/54 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 8/17 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 15/31 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 62% | 8/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets ( Martin 0, Rice 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Martin
🎯 Baseliner
Rice
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 399 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Dan Martin.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 7, 2026
M25 Laval
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 13, 2025
Drummondville Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Martin | Rice | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dan Martin | Keegan Rice | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 3/3 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Martin | Rice |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–5 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.88 | 2.42 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +56.5% |
| Units P/L | -5.00u | +8.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Martin | Rice |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | JAM | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rice has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Martin's 0%).
| Opponent | Martin | Rice |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Milavsky | L 67 36 | W 16 61 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lautaro Midon
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Keegan Rice
M25 Laval · 1st Round
Jul 7
Yuta Shimizu
Cary challenger
Jun 28
Zsombor Velcz
Futures 2026
Jun 10
Zsombor Velcz
M25 Wichita · 1st Round
Jun 10
Braden Shick
Texas Spine and Joint Men's Championship · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Ronald Hohmann
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Kaylan Bigun
M25 Pensacola · 2nd Round
May 14
Mark Lajal
Vancouver Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 31
Harry Wendelken
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Daniel Milavsky
Vancouver Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rio Noguchi
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Nicolas Arseneault
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Arthur Gea
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Alexander Rozin
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–54 matches
| Metric | Martin | Rice |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 35% | 63% |
| Sets won | 42% | 60% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Martin | Rice |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Martin | Rice |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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