Dan Martin vs Keegan RicePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dan Martin and Keegan Rice have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Drummondville Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Martin has taken 2 sets to Rice's 3. Their most recent meeting: Keegan Rice won at M25 Laval (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Martin | Rice | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dan Martin | Keegan Rice | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 13/17 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 15/30 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 19/47 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 16/28 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 9/21 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 65% | 13/20 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 13/20 | 62% | 8/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets ( Martin 0, Rice 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Martin
🎯 Baseliner
Rice
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 354 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Dan Martin.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 7, 2026
M25 Laval
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 13, 2025
Drummondville Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Martin | Rice |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 3.44 | 3.31 |
| ROI % | -74.5% | +27.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.98u | +1.91u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rice has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Martin's 0%).
| Opponent | Martin | Rice |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Rybakov | L 46 26 | W 46 76 63 |
| Daniel Milavsky | L 67 36 | W 16 61 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Rybakov
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Aidan Kim
Kingston 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Nicholas Gore
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Lautaro Midon
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Mikael Arseneault
Granby Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Keegan Rice
M25 Laval · 1st Round
Jul 7
Yuta Shimizu
Cary Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 28
Zsombor Velcz
Futures 2026
Jun 10
Mark Lajal
Vancouver Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Daniel Milavsky
Vancouver Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Harry Wendelken
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rio Noguchi
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Nicolas Arseneault
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Arthur Gea
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–47 matches
| Metric | Martin | Rice |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 36% | 63% |
| Sets won | 43% | 60% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Martin | Rice |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Martin | Rice |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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