Dalibor Svrcina vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dalibor Svrcina and Yosuke Watanuki have met 3 times since 2025; Dalibor Svrcina leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Canada in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Svrcina leads 2–1. Svrcina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Svrcina has taken 5 sets to Watanuki's 2. Their most recent meeting: Dalibor Svrcina won at ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Svrcina | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dalibor Svrcina | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 23/32 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 13/26 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 22/58 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 19/38 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 8/14 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 10/23 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 25/33 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 23/33 | 63% | 10/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Svrcina 2, Watanuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Svrcina
⚔️ The Gladiator
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,349 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yosuke Watanuki.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 30, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 5, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 26, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Svrcina | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dalibor Svrcina | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Svrcina | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.80 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | +5.9% | -39.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.06u | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Svrcina | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Svrcina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Watanuki's 33%).
| Opponent | Svrcina | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Marat Sharipov | L 63 36 16 | L 76 57 26 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 46 26 | W 63 64 |
| Cezar Cretu | W 63 61 | L 16 46 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 64 62 | L 76 57 46 |
| Frederico Ferreira Silva | W 63 64 | W 64 64 |
| Mitchell Krueger | W 76 64 | L 63 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Cameron Norrie
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Yoshihito Nishioka
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Billy Harris
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Marat Sharipov
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Rio Noguchi
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Philip Sekulic
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Semen Pankin
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Semen Pankin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–62 matches
| Metric | Svrcina | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 56% |
| Sets won | 54% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Svrcina | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Svrcina | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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