Cristian Garin and Matteo Arnaldi have met 1 time since 2026; Cristian Garin leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Cristian Garin won at Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Garin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Arnaldi
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,795 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Matteo Arnaldi.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
1 career meeting, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Garin | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cristian Garin | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 53% | 10/19 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/19 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Garin | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.97 | 2.19 |
| ROI % | -24.5% | +47.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.92u | +8.47u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Garin's 40%).
| Opponent | Garin | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 46 | L 46 46 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 76 75 | W 62 63 |
| Nuno Borges | L 46 63 67 | W 63 67 76 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 64 46 57 | L 46 46 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 75 16 61 | W 64 76 |
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras Open 4 · Round of 32
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Jan Choinski
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 5
Moez Echargui
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Nuno Borges
Sardegna Open · Round of 16
Apr 30
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Raphael Collignon
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Tallon Griekspoor
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Rafael Jodar
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Alex de Minaur
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jaume Munar
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 6
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–50 matches
| Metric | Garin | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 51% |
| Sets won | 54% | 49% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Garin | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Garin | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
