Corentin Denolly vs Oliwier SterniczukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M15 Szczawno
- Level
- ITF M15
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 2 · 11:10 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.08 or shorter, Corentin Denolly has won 14 of 15 matches, 93% against a fair-price expectation of 89%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Corentin Denolly meets Oliwier Sterniczuk in the first round of the M15 Szczawno on September 2, 2026, on clay. Denolly, ranked 440th, arrives six days removed from his last match after playing twice in fourteen days. Sterniczuk, ranked 1811th, comes in off a win just one day prior and has won his last two matches.
The two have never faced each other. Denolly has won 1 of his last 5 matches but holds a 50% record over his last 10. Sterniczuk has won 4 of his last 10, with 2 wins in his last 5. Both players defeated Agustin Fernandez Badia in recent outings.
Denolly operates as a counterpuncher and has compiled a 13-7 record on clay in recent play, a 65% conversion rate. Sterniczuk's tactical profile is less established, though his clay record reads 4-6 at 40%. Denolly will need to control points and dictate from the baseline; Sterniczuk will need to impose his game early and avoid extended rallies where Denolly thrives.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Denolly | Sterniczuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Corentin Denolly | Oliwier Sterniczuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 24/29 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 4/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 18% | 9/49 | 8% | 1/12 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 75% | 15/20 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 9/22 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 6/11 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 26/28 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 24/28 | 75% | 3/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Denolly and Sterniczuk have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Denolly | Sterniczuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Corentin Denolly | Oliwier Sterniczuk | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Denolly | Sterniczuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.37 | 5.18 |
| ROI % | -48.0% | -15.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.92u | -0.93u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Denolly | Sterniczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | AUT | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Denolly and Sterniczuk posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Denolly | Sterniczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Marc Antoine Gaillard | W 64 63 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Ignacio Gallego
M15 Vienna · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Bastian Berenz
M15 Vienna · 1st Round
Aug 26
Jan Kumstat
Futures 2026
Jun 17
Jan Kumstat
M25 Klosters · 1st Round
Jun 17
Patrik Meszaros
M15 Nyiregyhaza · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Radovan Michalik
M15 Nyiregyhaza · 1st Round
Jun 10
Felix Balshaw
M25 Deauville · Final
May 24
Geoffrey Blancaneaux
M25 Deauville · Semifinals
May 23
Anes Latifovic
M15 Szczawno · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 1
Jakub Cernovicky
M15 Szczawno · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Milosz Sroka
M25 Poznan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Haiyi Qin
M25 Poznan · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Uladzislau Tarasevich
M15 Krakow · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Maksymilian Zurek
M15 Krakow · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Juliusz Bienkiewicz
M15 Bielsko Biala · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 4
Eli Mizerski
M15 Bielsko Biala · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–49 matches
| Metric | Denolly | Sterniczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 33% |
| Sets won | 58% | 32% |
| Games won | 53% | 43% |