Corentin Denolly vs Mathys PicardPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Corentin Denolly and Mathys Picard have met 1 time since 2026; Corentin Denolly leads 1–0. Across all meetings Denolly has taken 2 sets to Picard's 0. Their most recent meeting: Corentin Denolly won at M25 Deauville (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Denolly | Picard | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Corentin Denolly | Mathys Picard | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 24/29 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 10/50 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 75% | 15/20 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 10/23 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 6/11 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 26/29 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 24/29 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Denolly 1, Picard 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Denolly
🪃 Counterpuncher
Picard
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 21, 2026
M25 Deauville
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Denolly | Picard |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 6–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.37 | 3.16 |
| ROI % | -48.0% | +65.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.92u | +5.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Denolly | Picard |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | AUT | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Denolly and Picard posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Denolly | Picard |
|---|---|---|
| Marc Antoine Gaillard | W 64 63 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Ignacio Gallego
M15 Vienna · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Bastian Berenz
M15 Vienna · 1st Round
Aug 26
Jan Kumstat
M25 Klosters · 1st Round
Jun 17
Jan Kumstat
Futures 2026
Jun 17
Patrik Meszaros
M15 Nyiregyhaza · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Radovan Michalik
M15 Nyiregyhaza · 1st Round
Jun 10
Felix Balshaw
M25 Deauville · Final
May 24
Geoffrey Blancaneaux
M25 Deauville · Semifinals
May 23
Loan Lestir
M15 Rognac · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Max Benaim
M15 Rognac · 1st Round
Jul 22
Sean Cuenin
M25 Uriage · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Laurin Aerne
M25 Uriage · 1st Round
Jul 15
Roger Pascual Ferra
M15 Monastir · Final
Jun 28
Lukas Pokorny
M15 Monastir · Semifinals
Jun 27
Dominick Mosejczuk
M15 Monastir · Quarterfinals
Jun 26
Isaac Becroft
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 22–50 matches
| Metric | Denolly | Picard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 41% |
| Sets won | 57% | 42% |
| Games won | 53% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Denolly | Picard |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Denolly | Picard |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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