Connor Thomson vs Yanki ErelPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Connor Thomson and Yanki Erel have met 1 time since 2025; Connor Thomson leads 1–0. Across all meetings Thomson has taken 2 sets to Erel's 0. Their most recent meeting: Connor Thomson won at M25 Monastir 8 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Thomson | Erel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Connor Thomson | Yanki Erel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 3/4 | 76% | 42/55 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 1/5 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 2/9 | 27% | 19/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/3 | 55% | 30/55 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 3/3 | 90% | 47/52 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 3/3 | 81% | 42/52 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Thomson 1, Erel 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Thomson
💥 Big Hitter
Erel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 14, 2025
M25 Monastir 8
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Thomson | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.45 |
| ROI % | - | +5.1% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.81u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Thomson | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | TUR → TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Erel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Thomson's 0%).
| Opponent | Thomson | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Maxim Shin | L 36 76 26 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dusan Obradovic
Memorijal Mile Moralic - Split Open Jolly Autoline · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Karl Poling
Drummondville · 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 10
Oliver Bonding
Drummondville · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 9
Luca Castagnola
M25 Monastir 8 · 2nd Round
Oct 16
Yanki Erel
M25 Monastir 8 · 1st Round
Oct 14
Maxim Shin
M25 Sharm ElSheikh 4 · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alec Deckers
M25 Setubal 1 · 2nd Round
Sep 18
Giles Hussey
M25 Setubal 1 · 1st Round
Sep 17
Luca Castelnuovo
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Hikaru Shiraishi
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Kokoro Isomura
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Denis Yevseyev
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Paul Inchauspe
Samsun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Radu Albot
Samsun Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Arda Azkara
Samsun Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Matteo Martineau
Segovia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 9–70 matches
| Metric | Thomson | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 79% |
| Sets won | 45% | 73% |
| Games won | 46% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Thomson | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Thomson | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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