Connor Thomson vs Luca CastagnolaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Connor Thomson and Luca Castagnola have met 1 time since 2025; Connor Thomson leads 1–0. Across all meetings Thomson has taken 2 sets to Castagnola's 1. Their most recent meeting: Connor Thomson won at M25 Monastir 8 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Thomson | Castagnola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Connor Thomson | Luca Castagnola | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 2/3 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/3 | 40% | 14/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 17% | 1/6 | 38% | 24/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/2 | 53% | 16/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 1/2 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 68% | 19/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Thomson 0, Castagnola 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Thomson
🤖 Servebot
Castagnola
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 62% vs 🧱 The Wall across 266 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Connor Thomson.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 16, 2025
M25 Monastir 8
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Thomson | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.22 |
| ROI % | - | -20.8% |
| Units P/L | - | -3.32u |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dusan Obradovic
Split Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 22
Dusan Obradovic
Memorijal Mile Moralic - Split Open Jolly Autoline · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Karl Poling
Drummondville · 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 10
Oliver Bonding
Drummondville · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 9
Luca Castagnola
M25 Monastir 8 · 2nd Round
Oct 16
Yanki Erel
M25 Monastir 8 · 1st Round
Oct 14
Maxim Shin
M25 Sharm ElSheikh 4 · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alec Deckers
M25 Setubal 1 · 2nd Round
Sep 18
Robert Strombachs
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jan Werblinski
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 30
Fares Zakaria
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Jan Hrazdil
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 23
Valerio Aboian
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M15 Bologna · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Matic Hribar
M15 Bologna · 1st Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–64 matches
| Metric | Thomson | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 45% |
| Sets won | 46% | 47% |
| Games won | 48% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Thomson | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Thomson | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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