Colton Smith vs Roger Pascual FerraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Colton Smith and Roger Pascual Ferra have met 1 time since 2026; Roger Pascual Ferra leads 1–0. Across all meetings Smith has taken 1 sets to Ferra's 2. Their most recent meeting: Roger Pascual Ferra won at Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smith | Pascual Ferra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Colton Smith | Roger Pascual Ferra | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 18/27 | 85% | 17/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 19/53 | 27% | 8/30 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 14/34 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 10/17 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 11/21 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 85% | 17/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 18/30 | 85% | 17/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smith 0, Pascual Ferra 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
💥 Big Hitter
Ferra
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,349 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Colton Smith.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 25, 2026
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Smith | Ferra | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Colton Smith | Roger Pascual Ferra | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Ferra |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–7 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.68 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -31.6% | -2.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.79u | -0.35u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Smith | Ferra |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ferra has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Smith's 33%).
| Opponent | Smith | Ferra |
|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mayo | L 26 67 | L 16 46 |
| Stefan Kozlov | W 64 62 | W 64 64 |
| Masamichi Imamura | L 57 36 | W 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aidan Mayo
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Duncan Chan
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Timo Legout
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Stefan Kozlov
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hugo Gaston
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Jerome Kym
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Andrea Pellegrino
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Felix Gill
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Luca Staeheli
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Li Tu
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 22
Kenta Miyoshi
Kingston 1 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Aidan Mayo
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 26
Colton Smith
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–54 matches
| Metric | Smith | Ferra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 67% |
| Sets won | 50% | 66% |
| Games won | 49% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smith | Ferra |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smith | Ferra |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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